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Federal Budget in Balance FY 2011: Comparison of Bush and Obama HA-28-2-10

 

By Tony J. Sanders

sanderstony@live.com

 

“We do not inherit the Earth from our ancestors we borrow it from our children.”

                                                                                  Native American Proverb

 

Part I Constitutional Rationale

Part II Economic Damages

Part III Operation

Part IV Concluding Remarks

 

Table 1: Federal Budget Master Balance 2009-2012 (in millions)

Table 2: Overview of the President’s Budget 2005-2012 (in billions)

Table 3: Gross Domestic Product Annually and Quarterly 2008-2009 (in billions)

Table 4: Revenues 2005-2012 (in billions)

Table 5: Gross Federal Debt 2005-2012 (in billions)

Table 6: Status of the Troubled Asset Relief Program as December 31, 2009 (in billions)

Table 7: State Budget Shortfalls FY2009 (in millions)

Table 8: Presidential Outlays by Agency, and Annual % Change 2002, 2005-2012 (in millions)

Table 9: Legislative and Judicial Spending FY 2005-2012 (in millions)

Table 10: Department of Treasury Balance 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 11: Department of Justice Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 12: Departments of State, International Assistance and Homeland Security Spending 2009-2012 (in millions)

Table 13: Department of Defense Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 14: Veterans Affairs Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 15: Civil Corp of Engineers Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 16: Department of Health and Human Services Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 17: Department of Interior Budget Authority and Receipts 2009-2011(in millions)

Table 18: Department of Agriculture Balance FY 2008-2009 (in millions)

Table 19: Department of Commerce Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 20: Department of Labor Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 21: Social Security Administration Balance 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 22: Housing and Urban Development Spending 2009-2012 (in millions)

Table 23: General Services Administration Recovery Act Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 24: Small Business Administration Budget 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 25: National Aeronautics and Space Administration and National Science Foundation Spending 2009-2012 (in millions)

Table 26: Department of Transportation Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 27: Environmental Protection Agency Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 28: Department of Energy Budget 2009-2012 (in million)

Table 29: Office of Personnel Management Budget Appropriations 2008-2012 (in millions)

Table 30: Department of Education Spending 2009-2012 (in billions)

Table 31: Savings to the Deficit Accrued by Imposing Agency Spending Limits 2009-2012 (in millions)

Table 32: Impact of FY 2011 Revenue Proposals 2010-2020 (in millions)

Table 33: Impact of Health Insurance Options on the Budget 2011-2020 (in billions)

Table 34: Effects of Spending Limit, Revenue and Health Measures 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

I.                   Constitutional Rationale

 

Although most of it holds true, several provisions of the Hospitals & Asylums Political Platform 2009-2012 are reversed in order to more precisely and proportionally neutralize the armed attack by President of the United States and Democratic and Republican (DR) partisans that has needlessly taken an estimated 211,002 lives 2009-2010 and lead the economy from the Great Recession.  To make peace on a spirit level the tobacco tax of April 1, 2009 must be amended to provide for a flat 159% increase, reversing the greater than 2,000% increase on hand-rolling tobacco and small cigars and taxing the large cigars favored by investment bankers, while the Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 and the American Recovery Reinvestment Act of 2009, that were formerly called upon for repeal to limit damages there-under to the 111th Congress, that has been dissolved in its entirety, are herein reconciled.  Like in the colony of Virginia, the normalization of tobacco prices can be accepted as payment in lieu of currency, however immediate payment is imperative whereas this work accounts for a deficit of less than 3% of GDP by 2011, otherwise neither the Administration nor Congress will have performed.  If the President cannot, henceforth, keep the Peace, to the satisfaction of the Armed Forces Retirement Home Trust Fund, he shall be impeached under Art. 1(6), Art. 2(4) of, and Amendment 25(2), to the US Constitution, by the 111th Congress, that would otherwise be dissolved, and a Chief Justice, who would otherwise be dismissed.  This work, like all of my work, however, is not intended to create strife, it has been carefully crafted, with less than 1% deviance from Office of Management and Budget (OMB) figures, to correct the budgetary imbalances in the Historical Tables of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), for the vindication of OMB Director Peter Orszag.

 

I have reviewed the written opinions of the principal officers of the executive departments, relating to their agency budgets under the FY 2011 Federal Budget pursuant to Art. 2(2)(1) of the U.S. Constitution. I have taken the liberty to faithfully transcribe, and in some cases justify, agency budget requests for the realization of our common goal of a balanced federal budget.  I brought the federal deficit under 3% of GDP FY 2005-2007, and after taking a leave of absence in FY 2009, I am proud to announce the FY 2011 budget is balanced on paper.  The deficit, after being adjusted upward from $1.4 trillion, 9,8% of GDP, to $1.6 trillion, 10.9% of GDP, in 2009, to account for the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of that year, goes down dramatically.  With Recovery Act capital to soften hardship agencies enjoy financial stability under reasonable 1-5% growth rates using 2008 as a base year.  Many agencies did this themselves, but several recapitalized upon Recovery Act funding levels, they were corrected.  Others, namely OPM with no FY 2011 budget, have been over-reported by OMB for years, others like SSA and DHS are limited to OMB appropriation levels.  DOE needs to take responsibility for the Low Income Energy Program to justify budget increases and control energy prices. The entire column Defense – Civil is a duplicate of mostly mandatory VA benefits and the cost of reconstructing my beloved AFRH Gulfport home needs to be put on the VA books to justify its large increases.  Congress is punished with 2007 levels of revenue until they produce a deficit less than 3% of GDP.  Their social health insurance agenda is censured until its cost would not cause more than a 3% deficit, some talk of nationalizing health insurance to balance the budget is okay.  Health and Human Services spending growth is limited to an annual 2.5% from 2008 and health care industry price increases are limited to 3% by law.  The $200 billion annual DoD lending is forfeited to the General Fund of the Treasury and the Overseas Contingency Operations fund is terminated in FY 2011 for a DoD budget of $400 billion, world peace and a $214 billion deficit, 1.2% of the GDP, in FY 2012.  The $200 billion TARP fund shall be returned in FY 2011 when a disciplined administration would enjoy a $427 billion deficit, 2.8% of GDP, not quite enough for health insurance, but better than one with a $1.067 trillion deficit, 6.9% of GDP.  In other words, this document can save FY 2011, FY 2012 and the first term of the President.

 

Table 1: Federal Budget Master Balance 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

2009

2009 s

2010

2010 s

2011

2011 s

2012

2012  s

Legislative Branch

4,702

4,702

5,423

4,294

5,579

4,294

5,292

4,294

Judicial Branch

6,645

6,645

7,159

6,711

7,512

6,777

7,351

6,845

Executive Office of the President

742

742

715

715

501

501

427

427

Agriculture

114,440

100,334

142,016

89,689

145,748

100,452

137,917

105,474

Interior

11,775

11,371

12,042

12,216

14,045

12,177

12,803

12,000

Environmental Protection Agency

8,070

7,600

11,301

10,300

11,177

10,000

9,980

9,624

Energy

23,683

70,581

38,278

26,525

44,390

28,400

34,792

30,311

Commerce

10,718

10,718

16,714

16,714

11,500

8,400

10,430

8,600

Education

53,400

137,600

106,900

59,200

94,300

77,800

85,200

80,000

State

21,472

15,826

25,726

17,613

28,754

16,400

30,065

16,500

International Assistance

14,794

34,308

23,899

35,441

24,343

36,400

28,223

38,500

Homeland Security

51,725

51,725

52,903

52,903

54,723

54,723

46,847

46,847

Housing and Urban Development

61,019

61,811

62,518

49,347

53,082

48,913

48,153

48,153

Transportation

73,004

112,344

90,944

68,899

86,665

70,966

82,817

73,095

Office of Personnel Management

72,302

41,158

71,603

42,200

73,463

44,000

75,956

46,000

General Services Administration

319

319

1,782

1,782

2,279

2,279

2,170

2,170

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

19,168

18,784

19,123

18,724

17,863

19,000

18,953

19,570

National Science Foundation

5,958

6,872

7,819

7,424

7,647

7,500

7,558

7,725

Small Business Administration

2,246

2,127

5,978

5,598

1,388

1,228

1,112

1,112

Justice

27,711

27,711

30,333

23,816

31,924

24,054

33,700

24,295

Labor

138,157

142,503

209,265

162,003

116,902

79,982

90,790

70,000

Treasury

701,775

896,972

502,980

400,472

593,550

560,863

685,279

600,000

Veterans Affairs

95,457

97,000

124,565

111,035

124,215

121,604

122,369

125,252

Defense- Civil

57,276

0

54,317

0

55,719

0

56,457

0

Civil – Corps of Engineers

6,842

5,242

10,536

10,189

6,929

5,438

5,879

5,500

Defense – Military

636,775

464,775

692,031

497,031

721,285

508,000

653,424

400,000

Health and Human Services

796,267

858,953

868,762

735,902

934,426

754,299

911,291

773,157

Social Security Administration (on-budget)

78,657

78,657

85,108

85,108

80,933

80,933

77,304

77,304

Social Security Administration (off-budget)

648,892

683,000

683,867

709,000

708,620

735,000

738,430

773,000

Other Independent Agencies (on-budget)

47,636

47,635

2,001

2,001

31,832

31,832

26,928

26,928

Other Independent Agencies (off-budget)

304

304

6,426

6,426

4,226

4,226

-13

-13

Allowances

-4

-4

18,750

18,750

21,676

21,676

-4,187

-4,187

Undistributed Offsetting Receipts

-274,193

-274,193

-271,127

-271,127

-283,287

-283,287

-288,823

-288,823

Effect of Agency Spending Limits

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total Outlays

3,517,734

3,724,122

3,720,657

3,016,901

3,833,909

3,194,830

3,754,874

3,139,660

Total Receipts

2,105,000

2,105,000

2,165,000

2,165,000

2,567,000

2,567,000

2,926,000

2,926,000

Total Deficit

-1,412,734

-1,619,122

-1,555,657

-851,901

-1,266,909

-627,830

-828,874

-213,660

% GDP

9.8%

11.3%

10.6%

5.8%

8.2%

4.1%

5.1%

1.2%

Total Public Debt

11,876,000

12,082,000

13,787,000

13,289,000

15,144,000

14,008,000

16,336,000

14,584,000

% GDP

83.4%

84.7%

94.3%

90.9%

99.0%

91.6%

100.8%

90.0%

Effect TARP Termination

NA

NA

NA

NA

200,000

200,000

NA

NA

TARP Termination Effect on Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-1,066,909

-427,830

NA

NA

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

6.9%

2.8%

NA

NA

TARP Termination Effect on Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,944,000

13,808,000

16,136,000

14,384,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

97.6%

90.3%

99.6%

88.7%

Effect of Revenue Provisions + TARP

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

No on Make Work Pay Extension

NA

NA

NA

NA

30,132

30,132

31,075

31,075

No on Information Reporting Tax

NA

NA

NA

NA

-326

-326

-1,029

-1,029

Total Effect of Revenue Provisions

NA

NA

NA

NA

29,806

29,806

30,046

30,046

Revenue Provision Effect on Total Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-1,036,000

-398,000

-799,000

-184,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

6.7%

2.6%

4.9%

1.1%

Revenue Provision Effect on Public Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,914,000

13,778,000

16,106,000

14,354,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

97.5%

90.1%

99.4%

88.6%

Effect of Health Care Proposals + TARP + Rev.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Social Health Insurance Plan

NA

NA

NA

NA

-75,000

-75,000

-80,000

-80,000

 Effect of Social Health on Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-1,111

-473,000

-909,000

-294

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

7.2%

3.1%

5.6%

1.8%

Total Effect of Social Health on Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,989,000

13,833,000

16,186,000

14,434,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

97.9%

90.5%

99.9%

89.1%

National Health Service

NA

NA

NA

NA

688,000

688,000

709,000

709,000

Effect of NHI on Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-379,000

+261,000

-119,000

+495,000

% GDP

 

 

 

 

2.5%

+ 1.7%

0.7%

+ 3.1%

Effect NHI on Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,256,000

13,120,000

15,427,000

13,875,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

93.2%

85.8%

95.2%

85.6%

Source: Table 31 and Table 34

 

The correlation between war and debt has haunted the United States Constitution since the Revolutionary War.  In the 18th century both Adam Smith in his Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations (1776) upon which our free market economy is founded and Immanuel Kant in his essay Perpetual Peace (1795) held that nations at war tend to get into debt to evade the people, who quickly tire of such a poor game, and act to end such nonsense.  A Balanced Budget Amendment to the United States Constitution is called for in Chapter 8-D of the Constitution of Hospitals & Asylums Non Governmental Economics (CHANGE) that recalls as early as 1798, before the Louisiana purchase, Thomas Jefferson apologized, “I wish it were possible to obtain a single amendment to our Constitution… taking from the Federal Government the power of borrowing. I know that to pay all proper expenses within the year would, in case of war, be hard on us. But not so hard as ten wars instead of one. For wars could be reduced in that proportion”. Unfortunately, James Madison, in drafting the Bill of Rights (1791), aggravated the debasement of the Supremacy clause at Art. 4(2) to public debt, by brandishing an unconstitutional right to bear arms in the face of the First Amendment right to sue the government for a redress of grievances, he and Jefferson had fought so hard to defend. Later Civil War debt was written into the Fourteenth Amendment.  Several balanced budget amendments have been proposed however no one proposed Amendment has yet been agreed to, probably because the duty to balance the budget is subjugated by these technical errors in the Constitutional law that need to be repealed, for economic and constitutional law and reason in general to be truly superior to threats of violence, as is the true intention of all law and writing and learning. 

 

While avoiding all contact with the family and government, to escape persecution, in 2009, I took the time, four hours, having already been fully briefed, to fully amend the U.S. Constitution HA-26-7-09, to create a government I could deal with, wherein the Balanced Budget Amendment replaces the Second Amendment right to bear arms.  The general idea is the same one that brought immigrants fleeing tyranny to the American continent in the first place. We claim the privilege of worshiping Almighty god according to the dictates of our own conscience, and allow all men the same privilege, let them worship how, where, or what they may (Articles of Faith 1:11).  For the most part all the people want is the freedom of the press, trade, speech, religion, association and peaceable assembly.  As for government, in the words of Thomas Jefferson, in his inaugural address in 1801, all that is wanted is “for a wise and frugal government, which shall restrain men from injuring one another, and leave them otherwise free to regulate their own affairs and industry”.  Milton Friedman and his wife Rose’s classic inquiry into the relationship between freedom and economics Free to Choose (1980) explains the superiority of capitalist self-interest over socialist collectivism whereby “No external force, no coercion, no violation of freedom is necessary to produce cooperation amongst individuals, all of whom benefit.”  In other words to enforce the law is to break the law and one would prefer to petition the government rather the barrel of a gun, or General of the United Nations (GUN) for that matter.  By associating the First Amendment right to sue the government for a redress of grievances and a Second Amendment duty to balance the budget, rather than a bizarre right to bear arms, never before heard, never again repeated in any other countries and in a strictly legal sense definitely inferior to a constitutional right that is specifically intended to be superior to the awesome power of State sanctioned violence.  More than any other Amendment to the U.S. Constitution this duty to balance the budget would bring the government into harmony with the writer rather than the fighter, and thereby forever increasing the peace and prosperity in our society.

 

The proposed Second Amendment duty to Balance the Budget states:

 

Section 1 Total outlays for any fiscal year shall not exceed total receipts for that fiscal year.

 

Section 2 Prior to each fiscal year, the President shall transmit to the Congress a proposed budget for the United States Government for that fiscal year in which total outlays do not exceed total receipts.

 

Section 3 The Congress shall enforce and implement a balanced budget by appropriate legislation.

    

II. Economic Damages

 

As everyone is well aware, the federal government, usually runs on a deficit, with some famous exceptions, such as when Andrew Jackson paid off the federal debt in 1835 and more recently when Bill Clinton ran a surplus in 1998-2000, is running the highest deficit in dollar terms in national history, well over $1 trillion in 2009, 2010 and 2011, the second highest as a percentage of GDP since WWII and the Confederacy during the Civil War.  Unless federal spending is corrected the public debt will exceed 100% of GDP as soon as 2012.  This 2010 the President and his Cabinet have proposed an FY 2011 budget that, although they freely admit outlays exceed receipts, can theoretically be balanced.  At war since 2001, and financially dependant upon Hospitals & Asylums after bombing the largest reparation in world history on the Spring Equinox of 2003, and being directed to international economic cooperation in 2004, and national fiscal responsibility in 2005, by 2006, the war economy had been completely decoded whereas the deficit was neatly financed with bonds issued by the SSA off-budget surplus and military budgetary funds in excess of $300 billion propped up the stock market.  The budget could be balanced if the military budget surplus and half of the social security revenue surplus was returned to the federal treasury.  Under my command surplus defense spending was called in, by locally infringing OMB Director Robert Portman (now with Squire, Sanders and Dempsey a law firm receiving TARP funds), bringing the deficit from a high of $414 billion in 2004, 3.5% of GDP, to -$318 billion in 2005, 2.5% of GDP, to -$248 billion in 2006, 1.9% of GDP, and more effectively in 2007, when the deficit was reduced to a socially responsible -$161 billion, 1.1% of GDP.  But without official acknowledgment of the source of these surplus military revenues, SSA could not be divested of their property, to achieve the common goal of peace and a balanced budget. 

 

Table 2: Overview of the President’s Budget 2005-2012 (in billions)

                                                                                                                                                                                    

 

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

GDP

12,638

13,399

14,078

14,441

14,259

14,624

15,299

16,203

% Change

 

6%

5.1%

2.6%

-1.3%

2.6%

4.6%

5.9%

Receipts

2,154

2,407

2,568

2,524

2,105

2,165

2,567

2,926

% GDP

17%

18%

18.2%

17.5%

14.8%

14.8%

16.8%

18.1%

% Change

 

11.7%

6.7%

-1.7%

-16.6%

2.9%

18.6%

14%

Outlays

2,472

2,655

2,729

2,983

3,518

3,721

3,834

3,755

% GDP

19.6%

19.8%

19.4%

20.7%

24.7%

25.4%

25.1%

23.2%

% Change

 

7.4%

2.8%

9.3%

17.9%

5.8%

3%

-2%

Deficit

-318

-248

-161

-459

-1,413

-1,556

-1,267

-828

% GDP

2.5%

1.9%

1.1%

3.2%

9.9%

10.6%

8.3%

5.1%

% Change

 

22%

35%

-185%

-208%

-10%

18.6%

35%

Sources: OMB Historical Table 1.1 Summary of Receipts, Outlays and Surpluses or Deficits 1780-2015 and BEA Gross Domestic Product 1929-2009

 

To cover the tracks of his relatively benign stock market speculation, the lame duck Bush administration, with the help of Fed Chairman Bernanke, concocted a scheme to sabotage the economy through a series of bailouts, in the absence of Federal Reserve landing, to allow him and other war criminals and energy tycoons to launder their proceeds in the safety and security of Federal Treasury bonds, and to create such a torturous financial and economic mess, that the subsequent administration of medically abusive Democrats would not have the standing to prosecute the war criminals from the previous administration.  After massacring Afghan civilians right after a campaign stop to the extremely corrupt hometown of the former OMB Director, Rob Portman, in July 2008.  When Obama was not responsible for his war crime and then selecting the most reprehensible torturer to be his Vice, from a list of chauvinist pigs, open to blackmail by the Secretary of Defense of his predecessor Obama committed himself to continuing the legacy of lies, deception and torture as a defense attorney for the war prosecutor.  In self defense Hospitals & Asylums ceased serving the government shortly before the Fall Equinox 2008, and without any accountability, whatsoever, the economy was punished with a parody of robbing from Peter, then CBO Director (the free market), to pay Paulson, the Treasurer (the investment bankers), within days.  Both Obama and McCain went along with the bailout propaganda, although it would undermine the budget of their administration, neither are idealists.  The $700 cost of Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 broke the camels back as investment capital fled Wall St. to the safety of Treasury securities.   The stock market immediately crashed and the shortage of investment capital caused firms to curtail employment and unemployment spread like wildfire.  The cost of the bailouts leaves a nearly exact impression on the growth of the GDP from the previous quarter. 

 

  Table 3: Gross Domestic Product Annually and Quarterly 2008-2009 (in billions)

 

 

2008 1Q

2008 2Q

2008 3Q

2008 4Q

2008

2009 1Q

2009 2Q

2009 3Q

2009 4Q

2009

GDP

14,374

14,498

14,547

14,347

14,441

14,178

14,151

14,242

14,463

14,259

 Growth

1.0

3.5

1.4

-5.4

2.6

-4.6

-0.8

2.6

6.4

-1.3

Source Bureau of Economic Analysis Gross Domestic Product 1930-2009

 

The effects of stimulus and bailout measures were counterintuitive and immediate.  Already stretched beyond capacity, the federal government did not have enough off-budget surpluses to finance more deficit spending, wherefore the cost of the bailout was foisted on the market.  The market, struggling with the $165 billion cost of the Recovery Rebates and Economic Stimulus for the American People Act of 2008 P.L. 110-185 of February 13, 2008 and the $250 billion Fannie Mae conservatorship, Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) of 2008 P.L. 110-289 on July 30, 2008, that caused record number of foreclosures and a first negative credit extension in history in August of 2008, could not bear the $700 Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) created in the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (EESA) HR 1424 of October 3, 2008 that immediately triggered -5.4% economic growth and millions of layoffs.  Money was being diverted from relatively high levels of employment on the stock market to zero employment in Federal Treasury bonds to very low levels of employment, per dollar, in the largest financial institutions, determined to be “too big to fail” by the Federal Reserve and Democratic and Republican (DR) party, in mockery of a century of anti-trust break-ups of large corporations into smaller, more manageable companies.  Panicking, the federal government could not learn from their mistakes. Although the naturally resilient free economy, the United States is so proud of, had nearly recovered, the Obama administration embarked on another stimulus package in the beginning of his administration, the $787 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) P.L. 111-5 of February 17, 2009, assuring an official recession, defined as two quarters of negative growth, triggering -4.6% economic growth in first quarter 2009, and -0.8% in the second quarter and commensurate unemployment.  Shortly thereafter the Congress made their fiscal oppressiveness clear with the passage of Children's Health Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2009 (Public Law 111-3) that increased the tax on child-proof hand-rolling tobacco 2,159% and the small cigars favored by the poor, 2,653% while the tax on the President’s Taylor made cigarettes went up only 159% and the cigars of investment bankers, not at all. All this while the $8 billion Attorney General Master Tobacco Settlement equal to the demands of CHIP goes un-appropriated.  The hypocrisy was enough to fuel a Tea Party to throw the 111th Congress into the harbor.  Without any more bailouts, the economy recovered in the latter half of 2009, but the term “Great Recession” sticks and the laws of the 111th Congress, which completely abolished torture statute, do not. 

 

Table 4: Revenues 2005-2012 (in billions)

 

 

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Individual Income Taxes

927

1,044

1,163

1,146

915

936

1,121

1,326

Corporate Income Taxes

278

354

370

304

138

157

297

366

Social Insurance and Retirement

794

838

870

900

891

875

935

1,005

Excise Tax

73

74

65

67

62

73

74

81

Other

81

97

100

106

98

124

140

148

Total

2,154

2,407

2,568

2,524

2,105

2,165

2,567

2,926

On-Budget

1,576

1,798

1,933

1,866

1,451

1,530

1,893

2,206

Off-Budget

577

608

635

658

654

635

674

720

Source: OMB Historical Tables Table 2.1 Receipts by Source 1934-2015

 

Despite the massive bailout funding revenues plunged.  Every dollar of the bailout came out of the free market to finance the half baked ambitions of the political economy, to be the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, who it turns our had taken 2008 off, neither citing authors in contravention to the Berne Convention, nor more significantly to the financial or economic system lending to those poor bankrupt too big to fail financial institutions usually broken up and sold in these circumstances under bankruptcy and anti-trust statutes or on the free market debt sales.  Without private investment financial firms declared losses and had to curtail hiring and in worst case to fire their employees, rising unemployment cut into national income and consumption in the classic economic recession described by John Maynard Keynes in his General Theory on Employment, Money and Interest (1936).  The propaganda proliferating in the literature however directs textbook readers to deficit spending although in the economic cannon, so often attributed to being synonymous with deficit spending, in fact complains that deficit spending is unpredictable and often devastatingly counterproductive.  As the result of the bailout the fiscal crisis spread to the general economy and this in turn caused a downturn in revenues.  This financial crisis weighed particularly hard on corporate income taxes, that plunged from $304 billion in 2008 to $138 billion in 2009.  These are the longest downturns in revenues since the OMB began keeping records in 1934.  True there were downturns in 1939, a false decline after a massive doubling in 1945-1946 in 1946-1950, 1955, 1958-1959, 1971, 1983,  After a massive jump from $879 billion in 1999 individual income tax revenues jumped to $1,004 billion before plunging to $994 in 2001 and not climbing above $1 trillion until 2005 and plunging again to $900s in 2009 and 2010, total receipts were proportionate.  The war interested tax cuts and bailouts of the Bush administration have caused two of the longest drops in revenues in U.S. history.  The Obama administration needs to be careful to adhere to Pay-go policies in regards to his tax initiatives so as to maintain a profitable margin of rational capitalist self-interest to avoid falling into the deficit trap of his immediate predecessor.                  

 

Table 5: Gross Federal Debt 2005-2012 (in billions)

 

 

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Gross Federal Debt

7,905

8,451

8,951

9,986

11,876

13,787

15,144

16,336

% GDP

63.5%

63.9%

64.4%

69.2%

83.4%

94.3%

99.0%

100.8%

Change

546

500

1,035

1,890

1,911

1,357

1,192

% Change

 

6.9%

5.9%

11.6%

18.9%

16.1%

9.8%

7.9%

Federal Reserve Debt

736

769

780

490

769

% GDP

5.9%

5.8%

5.6%

3.4%

5.4%

Change

 

33

11

-290

279

% Change

 

4.5%

1.4%

-37%

57%

Source: OMB Historical Table 7.1 Federal Debt at End of Year 1940-2015

 

The debt to individual, corporate, State and National purchasers of T-bonds is quite real, and the federal government has no intention of defaulting on their debts, in fact, one of the major impulses causing the crisis was an irrational importance, honor and panic tied to credit and the particularly stupid and unjustified debtor way of life.  Since 2000, under President Bush, the level of Gross Federal Debt has risen from $5.6 trillion, 57% of GDP, to $9.9 trillion, 69% of GDP in 2008.  Under Obama and the bail outs the level of debt has risen alarmingly and threatens to exceed 100% of the GDP by 2012.  This is the largest debt incurred in real terms and second only, as a percentage of GDP, to the debt incurred to win World War II that rose to 122% of the GDP.  The situation today is however much difference, the United States is fighting neither a real war, nor a real economic crisis, such as the Great Depression, that deficit spending could theoretically alleviate.  What occurred is that in his final, lame duck, year in office President Bush with the assistance of Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke concocted a scheme to sabotage the economy and launder his war chest.  In 2008, while publicly illiterate, without any citations in the Federal Reserve newsletter, and lamenting the dastardly state of the credit industry in the free press, the Federal Reserve secretly called in $290 billion more loans than they made, devastating the financial industry that normally benefits from these loans, that went negative for one month in August, whereupon an enormous $700 billion Congressionally sponsored TARP bailout was called for, ostensibly at the taxpayers expense, but actually at the expense of investors.  While this great reduction in loans in 2008 might be used as a defense against allegation of conflict of interest in the procurement of Federal Reserve loans, it in fact serves to convict Chairman Bernanke of the market manipulation, the federal reserve procurement and non-procurement, that gave rise not only to the financial crisis, but to the propaganda and bailout that gave rise to the economic crisis, wherefore his loyalty to the previous President is in question and there is sufficient cause for his removal from office.  It is the first time since 1949 the Federal Reserve’s loan portfolio went down in value, and although they have sabotaged the economy a number of times, during the recessions of 1920-21 and 1980-82, never so dramatically, or with such ill effect, by means of withholding their pride and joy, lending.

 

Table 6: Status of the Troubled Asset Relief Program as December 31, 2009 (in billions)

 

 

Authorization

Expenditure

Unspent

Repayments

Dividends

Unpaid

Bankrupt

Proceeds 12/2009

Annual Return

TARP

698.8

549.4

149.4

165.2

16.9

140.7

2.6

321.5

46%

Source: Special Inspector General of the TARP. Quarterly Report to Congress. January 10, 2010

 

The termination of the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (EESA) HR 1424 of October 3, 2008, that created the Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP) and provides the Secretary of the Treasury with various authorities to restore liquidity to the United States financial system and stimulate lending, is a priority.  As of December 31, 2009, Treasury had announced programs involving potential spending of $549.4 billion of the $698.8 billion maximum available for the purchase of troubled assets under TARP as authorized by Congress in EESA. Of this amount, Treasury had planned TARP expenditures of approximately $500.1 billion through the 10 implemented programs to provide support for U.S. financial institutions, the automobile industry, and homeowners.  As of December 31, 2009, the TARP program had made gross purchases totaling more than $450 billion. After accounting for the roughly $150 billion repaid, the TARP program has net holdings of approximately $300 billion. As of December 31, 2009, there was $140.7 million in outstanding unpaid CPP dividends. Finally, three TARP recipients that received a combined $2.6 billion in TARP funds have filed for bankruptcy.  TARP ends on October 3, 2010. The Treasury reports that usage in 2009 was far lower than expected and at the end of TARP, by the beginning of FY 2011, all proceeds and unspent funds, an estimated $400-600 billion should be returned to the General Fund of the Treasury to help offset the deficit. Congress is highly encouraged to pass legislation so that all repayments, interest and dividends on TARP loans are immediately returned to the General Fund to offset the deficit.  Recent estimates by the Treasury put the expected fiscal cost of the TARP program at around $120 billion. The president proposes to assess a 0.15 percent fee on the liabilities of all large financial firms operating in the United States, a “too big to fail tax” similar to deposit insurance.

 

Table 7: State Budget Shortfalls FY2009 (in millions)

 

 

Total State Budget Gap

FY2009

Total Gap as % of FY General Fund

Unemployment Rate December 2009

Recovery Act Allocations High Est.

United States

$93,000

14.2%

10.0%

$338,590

Alabama

$1,800

22.2%

11.0%

$4,010

Alaska

$360

6.8%

8.8%

$1,548

Arizona

$3,500

34.5%

9.1%

$5,910

Arkansas

$107

2.4%

7.7%

$2,552

California

$35,900

35.5%

12.4%

$35,400

Colorado

$604

7.7%

7.5%

$4,140

Connecticut

$1,500

8.5%

8.9%

$3,702

Delaware

$43

12.2%

9.0%

$977

Florida

$5,700

22.2%

11.8%

$15,137

Georgia

$2,400

11.5%

10.3%

$8,076

Hawaii

$232

4.0%

6.9%

$1,520

Idaho

$131

7.4%

9.1%

$1,775

Illinois

$3,800

13.4%

11.1%

$12,518

Indiana

$763

5.8%

9.9%

$6,690

Iowa

$484

7.6%

6.6%

$2,674

Kansas

$185

2.9%

6.6%

$2,227

Kentucky

$722

7.8%

10.7%

$3,767

Louisiana

$341

3.7%

7.5%

$3,777

Maine

$265

8.6%

8.3%

$1,521

Maryland

$1,500

10.0%

7.5%

$5,119

Massachusetts

$3,600

12.7%

9.4%

$8,595

Michigan

$672

2.9%

14.6%

$10,908

Minnesota

$1,400

7.9%

7.4%

$5,148

Mississippi

$265

5.2%

10.6%

$2,711

Missouri

$342

3.8%

9.6%

$5,195

Montana

NA

NA

6.7%

$1,472

Nebraska

NA

NA

4.7%

$1,443

Nevada

$1,400

19.6%

13.0%

$2,713

New Hampshire

$250

8.0%

7.0%

$1,490

New Jersey

$4,600

14.2%

10.1%

$9,115

New Mexico

$454

7.5%

8.3%

$2,583

New York

$6,400

11.7%

9.0%

$23,872

North Carolina

$800

3.7%

11.2%

$8,321

North Dakota

NA

NA

4.4%

$867

Ohio

$1,900

6.8%

10.9%

$10,396

Oklahoma

$114

1.7%

6.6%

$3,270

Oregon

$42

6.6%

11.0%

$3,983

Pennsylvania

$2,300

8.1%

8.9%

$12,712

Rhode Island

$802

24.5%

12.9%

$1,360

South Carolina

$804

11.7%

12.6%

$8,321

South Dakota

$27

2.2%

4.7%

$1,080

Tennessee

$1,400

12.0%

10.9%

$5,746

Texas

NA

NA

8.3%

$20,110

Utah

$620

10.4%

6.7%

$2,022

Vermont

$125

10.3%

6.9%

$840

Virginia

$2,300

13.8%

6.9%

$5,666

Washington

$509

3.4%

9.5%

$7,576

West Virginia

NA

NA

9.1%

$1,937

Wisconsin

$998

7.1%

8.7%

$5,493

Wyoming

NA

NA

7.5%

$658

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation. State Health Facts. January 29, 2009; BLS Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary January 10, 2010; Recovery.gov Agency Report U.S. Totals. February 16, 2010

 

III. Operation

 

The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 P.L. 111-5 of February 17, 2009 was not voted for by a single Republican in the House and only three in the Senate.  The Act includes federal tax cuts, expansion of unemployment benefits and other social welfare provisions, and domestic spending in education, health care, and infrastructure, including the energy sector.  The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that enacting the bill would increase federal budget deficits by $185 billion over the remaining months of fiscal year 2009, by $399 billion in 2010, by $134 billion in 2011, and by $787 billion over the 2009-2019 period, only $69 billion between 2012-2019.  The $787 billion is distributed as follows, $288 billion in tax cuts, $275 billion in contracts, grants and loans, and $224 billion in entitlements.  As of February 12, 2010 only $92.8 billion, 32.2%, had been paid in tax cuts, $86.9 billion, 31.6%, in contracts, grants and loans and $109 billion, 48.6%, in entitlements.  Despite the massive funding, mostly to stimulate employment, over 2009, jobless rates increased in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The national unemployment rate was 10.0 percent in December 2009 but was 2.6 percentage points higher than a year earlier.  The 600,000 jobs created under the Recovery Act do not compensate for the 7 million lost.  The government is simply not more efficient at allocating resources than the free market, from whence the funds were taken.  There is however no doubt that the States needed the funds.  The Act would have made more sense, and been less controversial, if it was indeed grants, loans and contracts to States to offset their budget deficits.  The great mystery of the ARRA, besides where are the funds, and why don’t they just go to the States to offset their budget deficit’s is why does its cost not go away and leave the budget in balance?  This is the extraordinarily perplexing question that this work treats upon.  How do we account for the stimulus spending?  And why doesn’t the budget balance in 2011 when EESA profits should be rolling into the General Fund?

 

Table 8: Presidential Outlays by Agency, and Annual % Change 2002, 2005-2012 (in millions)

 

 

2002

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Legislative Branch

3,187

3,984

4,101

4,294

4,410

4,702

5,423

5,579

5,292

% Change

 

2.9%

4.7%

2.7%

6.6%

15.3%

2.8%

-5.1%

The Judiciary

4,828

5,547

5,823

6,006

6,347

6,645

7,159

7,512

7,351

% Change

 

4.9%

3.1%

5.7%

4.7%

7.7%

4.9%

-2.1%

Agriculture

68,622

85,308

93,533

84,427

90,795

114,440

142,016

145,748

137,917

% Change

 

9.6%

-9.7%

7.5%

26%

24%

2.6%

-5.4%

Commerce

5,312

6,147

6,372

6,475

7,721

10,718

16,714

11,500

10,430

% Change

 

3.6%

1.6%

19.2%

38.8%

55.9%

-31.9%

-9.3%

Defense – Military

331,845

474,354

499,344

528,578

594,662

636,775

692,031

721,285

653,424

% Change

 

5.3%

5.9%

12.5%

7.1%

8.7%

4.2%

-9.4

Defense - Civil

35,136

43,481

44,435

47,112

45,785

57,276

54,317

55,719

56,457

% Change

 

2.2%

6%

-2.8%

25%

-5.1%

2.6%

1.3%

Defense -Total

366,981

517,835

543,779

575,690

640,447

694,051

746,348

777,004

709,881

% Change

 

5%

5.9%

11.2%

8.4%

7.5%

4.1%

-8.6%

Education

46,474

72,858

93,368

66,372

65,963

53,389

106,944

94,261

85,178

% Change

 

28.2%

-28.9%

-0.6%

-19.1%

100.3%

-11.9%

-9.6%

Energy

17,669

21,271

19,649

20,116

21,400

23,683

38,278

44,390

34,792

% Change

 

-7.6%

2.4%

6.4%

10.7%

61.6%

15.9%

-21.6%

Health and Human Services

465,326

581,390

614,274

671,982

700,442

796,267

868,762

934,426

911,291

% Change

 

5.7%

9.4%

4.2%

13.7%

9.1%

7.6%

-2.5%

Homeland Security

17,583

38,711

69,032

39,172

40,684

51,725

52,903

54,723

46,847

% Change

 

78.3%

-43.6%

3.9%

27.1%

2.3%

3.4%

-14.4%

Housing and Urban Development

31,788

42,453

42,435

45,561

49,088

61,019

62,518

53,082

48,153

% Change

 

0%

7.4%

7.7%

24.3%

2.5%

-15.1%

-9.3%

Interior

9,739

9,292

9,037

10,469

9,817

11,775

12,042

14,045

12,803

% Change

 

-2.7%

15.8%

-6.2%

19.9%

2.3%

16.6%

-8.8%

Justice

21,178

22,361

23,324

23,349

26,545

27,711

30,333

31,924

33,700

% Change

 

4.3%

0.1%

13.7%

4.4%

9.5%

5.2%

5.6%

Labor

64,686

46,949

43,138

47,544

58,838

138,157

209,265

116,902

90,790

% Change

 

-8.1%

10.2%

23.8%

134.8%

51.5%

-44.1%

22.3%

State

9,327

12,748

12,953

13,737

17,493

21,427

25,726

28,754

30,065

% Change

 

1.6%

6.1%

27.3%

22.5%

20.1%

11.8%

4.6%

Transportation

56,252

56,596

60,139

61,697

64,944

73,004

90,944

86,665

82,817

% Change

 

6.3%

2.6%

5.3%

12.4%

24.6%

-4.7%

-4.4%

Treasury

371,187

410,240

464,675

490,589

548,797

701,775

502,980

593,550

685,279

% Change

 

13.3%

5.6%

11.9%

27.9%

-28.3%

18.0%

15.5%

Veterans Affairs

50,686

69,815

69,777

72,792

84,749

95,457

124,565

124,215

122,369

% Change

 

-0.005%

4.3%

16.4%

12.6%

30.5%

0.3%

-1.5%

Corps of Engineers

4,727

4,719

6,944

3,918

5,075

6,842

10,536

6,929

5,879

% Change

 

47.1%

-43.6%

29.5%

34.8%

53.9%

-34.2%

-15.1%

Environmental Protection Agency

7,451

7,913

8,321

8,259

7,939

8,070

11,301

11,177

9,980

% Change

 

5.2%

-0.7%

-3.9%

1.7%

40.4%

-1.1%

-10.7%

Executive Office of the President

451

7,686

5,379

2,956

1,173

743

715

501

427

% Change

 

-30.1%

-45%

-60.3%

-36.7%

-3.8%

-29.9%

-14.8%

General Services Administration

-684

20

24

27

343

319

1,782

2,279

2,170

% Change

 

20%

12.5%

1,170%

-6.9%

4,586%

27.9%

-4.8%

International Assistance Programs

13,289

15,024

13,917

12,752

11,359

14,797

23,899

24,343

28,223

% Change

 

-7.3%

-8.4%

-10.9%

30.3%

61.5%

1.9%

15.9%

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

14,405

15,602

15,125

15,861

17,833

19,168

19,123

17,863

18,953

% Change

 

-3.1%

4.9%

12.4%

7.5%

-0.2%

-6.6%

6.1%

National Science Foundation

4,155

5,403

5,510

5,488

5,785

5,958

7,819

7,647

7,558

% Change

 

2%

-0.4%

5.4%

3%

31.2%

-2.2%

-1.2%

Office of Personnel Management

52,540

59,500

62,400

58,431

64,393

72,302

71,603

73,463

75,956

% Change

 

4.9%

-6.4%

10.2%

12.3%

-1%

2.6%

3.4%

Small Business Administration

493

2,502

905

1,175

528

2,246

5,978

1,388

1,112

% Change

 

-63.8%

29.8%

-95.6%

325%

166%

-76.8%

-19.8%

Social Security Administration (on-budget)

45,816

54,556

53,252

54,917

58,602

78,657

85,108

80,933

77,304

% Change

 

-2.4%

3.1%

6.7%

34.2%

8.2%

-4.9%

-4.5%

Social Security Administration (off-budget)

442,010

506,779

532,491

566,846

599,197

648,892

683,867

708,620

738,430

% Change

 

5.1%

6.5%

5.7%

8.3%

5.4%

3.6%

4.2%

Other Independent Agencies (on-budget)

16,705

16,766

14,003

12,913

47,221

47,635

2,001

31,832

26,928

% Change

 

-16.5%

-7.8%

266%

0.9%

-96%

1,491%

-15.4%

Other Independent Agencies (off-budget)

-651

-1,791

-1,075

5,093

2,417

304

6,426

4,226

-13

% Change

 

40%

287%

52.5%

-94%

2014%

-34.2%

-100.3%

Allowances

 

 

 

 

 

-4

18,750

21,676

-4,187

Undistributed offsetting receipts

-200,706

-226,213

-237,548

-260,206

-277,791

-274,193

-271.127

-283,287

-288,823

(On-budget)

-115,009

-123,436

-128,201

-141,904

-150,928

-142,013

-137,793

-148,634

-150,648

(Off-budget)

-85,697

-102,777

-109,347

-118,302

-126,863

-132,180

-133,334

-134,653

-138,175

Total outlays

2,010,907

2,471,971

2,655,057

2,728,702

2,982,554

3,517,681

3,720,701

3,833,861

3,754,852

Total receipts

1,853,149

2,154,000

2,407,000

2,568,000

2,524,000

2,105,000

2,165,000

2,567,000

2,926,000

Total deficit

-157,758

-318,000

-248,000

-161,000

-459,000

-1,413,00

-1,556,000

-1,267,000

-828,000

% Solvent

92.2%

87%

91%

94%

85%

60%

58%

67%

78%

Source: OMB Historical Budget Table 4.1 Outlays by Agency 1962-2015

 

In the absence of a decisive veto of bailout legislation, a line item veto must be exercised in the form of impoundment, whereby the executive impounds illicit or unnecessary funds and returns them to the General Fund of the Treasury.  As the result of the Obama, big government, style of administration, it is no longer sufficient to merely hold the Department of Defense liable, but where the Department of Defense once needed to be reigned in to leverage a return of Social Security surplus funds, all agencies will need to eliminate waster, fraud and abuse from their budgets.  Besides total defense spending, that needs to be reduced from $695 billion to $400, for a saving of $295 billion, there are a number of Departments with alarming budget increases.  The Department of Agriculture’s 51% increase from $90.1 billion in 2008 to $142 billion in 2010 should be cut to $100 billion saving $42 billion.  The 103% increase in education spending from $53 billion in 2009 to $107 billion in 2010 should be limited to a sustainable $75 billion, saving $32 billion.  The 61.6% increase in Energy spending from $24 billion in 2009 to $38 billion should be limited to $25 billion, a savings of $14 billion.  Health and Human Services spending needs to be massively cut back from $869 billion to less than $600, for a savings of $269.  The 9.5% increase in Justice spending needs to be reigned in from $30.3 billion to $28 billion, saving $2 billion and a lot of souls.  The massive increases in Labor spending are not liberating the labor market that continues to shed more jobs than are created, the 186% increase from $59 billion in 2008 to $209 billion in 2010 needs to be reduced to meet the demands of unemployment insurance balance sheets.  The 30.5% increase in Veteran’s spending in 2010 needs to be reduced from $124 billion to $100 billion, for a spending increase of 5.2% and savings of $24 billion.  The 40.4% increase in Environment Protection Agency spending should be limited to $10 billion, saving $1 billion.  The 31.2% increase in National Science Foundation spending should be limited to $6.2 billion, saving $1.5 billion.  This dictates a total savings of $756.5 billion from the 2010 budget, theoretically reducing the deficit to -$775 billion, 5.3% of the GDP, but it is in fact the agency dictators who need to impounded.  Every agency will have to be carefully audited.

 

Table 9: Legislative and Judicial Spending FY 2005-2012 (in millions)

 

 

2008

2009

2010

2010

2011

2011

2012

2012

Legislative Branch

4,410

4,702

5,423

4,294

5,579

4,294

5,292

4,294

Savings

 

 

 

1,129

 

1,285

 

998

Judicial Branch

6,347

6,645

7,159

6,711

7,512

6,777

7,351

6,845

Savings

 

 

 

446

 

734

 

506

Source: OMB Detailed Budget Estimates: Legislative Branch & Judicial Branch. February 2010

 

To express public outrage at the abuses of the Democratic and Republican (DR) party and to instill a sense of responsibility into the 111th Congress to achieve a balanced budget, the legislature’s budget should be directly linked to the deficit as punishment for their inability to produce a balanced budget or to pay any petitioners or in fact have any socially redeeming qualities whatsoever that weren’t just a trick.  The Executive Office of the President has reduced his expenses to only $715 million from a high of $7.7 billion in 2005 after dramatically rising from $451 million in 2004, the year before.  The legislature should similarly tighten their belt to help offset the deficit.  Whereas there is little so offensive in their request as to justify impounding any items, it is probably best to freeze legislative spending at 2007 levels, $4.3 billion, a savings of $1.1 billion, a reduction of 14% in 2010,  until such a time that they bring the federal budget deficit below 3% of the GDP.  The legislative programs particularly in need of reduction are the special funds for leaders, the Vice President, Speaker, Majority and Minority Leaders, Whips, etc. whereas they are particularly unpopular of late, but every appropriation can afford to take a little out of the margin, to reduce the deficit, the Constitution makes them responsible for.  The Judicial Branch is not specifically responsible for balancing the budget, they can therefore not be held liable for failing to do so, it is not their power.  The Judicial Branch is however extraordinarily delinquent in regards to the balance of prisoners that is the largest and most concentrated in the world.  We are not pleased with the judiciary, but as they cannot be held responsible for the balancing of the budget, it seems fair to allow the judiciary a an annual increase of 1%, sparing them the -2/1% decline in 2012, for a savings of $446 million in 2010, $734 million 2011 and $506 million in 2012.

 

Table 10: Department of Treasury Balance 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Treasury OMB

548,797

701,775

502,980

593,550

685,279

% Change

11.9%

27.9%

-28.3%

18.0%

15.5%

Treasury Operations Budget Justification

14,582

15,591

17,002

17,500

Treasury Net Interest on Debt

372,518

388,637

455,941

500,000

Treasury Mandatory Accounts

511,515

1,717

90,989

91,000

Treasury Total

896,972

400,472

560,863

600,000

Savings

-195,197

102,508

32,697

85,000

Source: US Treasury. Budget Documents. FY 2011. February 1, 2010

 

The Treasury Department was created at the start of the Republic in a 1789 Act of Congress.  Today, the Department of the Treasury remains the premier financial institution of the United States with a full-time agenda of accounting, revenue collection, money production, and economic policy formulation.  The actual operations costs of the Treasury, for printing and engraving money, and a myriad of financial security programs, are $14.6 billion in 2009, rising to $15.6 billion in 2011, a 9% increase, future increases must be limited to 3% for $17.5 billion in 2012.  The Treasury received $318 million in Recovery Act funds.  The workload on the Treasury has increased dramatically because of the economic crisis. The major usual cost of the Treasury is the interest on federal debt, costing $372.5 billion in 2009 and $455.9 billion in 2011, this amount increases with the amount of federal debt ,which has been mounting at a fast rate, growth in interest payment was 4.3% between 2009 and 2010 and 17.3% between 2010 and 2011, future increases are dependent upon the size of the deficit, they will not go down, but their increase can be limited.  The mandatory accounts include particularly, the TARP fund and GSE securities, the costs of both of which underwent downward revision in 2010, unspent TARP and GSE funds were returned to the Treasury, returning the mandatory account total balances, back to normal, a little less than $100 billion.  The return of the proceeds of TARP at the end of FY2010 might reduce the Treasury accounts by more than $400 billion, but it would probably be better for TARP to offset the government-wide costs of the Recovery Act and the deficit in general.  The Treasury must seek financial stability, not incur any more extraordinary obligations, seek to minimize the deficit by minimizing cost inflation and most of all returning investment revenues to the General Fund to reduce the deficit and achieve balance.    

Table 11: Department of Justice Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Justice OMB

23,349

27,711

30,333

31,924

33,700

% Change

0.1%

4.4%

9.5%

5.2%

5.6%

Justice Budget Request

27,700

29,200

Savings

2,622

2,724

1 % Growth

23,816

24,054

24,295

Savings

6,517

7,870

9,405

Source: DOJ. FY 2011 Budget and Performance Summary. January 29, 2010

 

The Office of the Attorney General was created in the Judiciary Act of 1789. In 1870, after the post-Civil War increase in the amount of litigation involving the United States necessitated the very expensive retention of a large number of private attorneys to handle the workload, a concerned Congress set up "an executive department of the government of the United States" with the Attorney General as its head. The President needs use his pardon power, so far he has not pardoned anyone, even Bush pardoned more than a hundred people while in office, Obama should pardon a hundred a day to represent the ideals of racial equality and freedom the people elected him for, to redress the balance of prisoners greater than 750 per 100,000 in the USA, above the legal limit of judicial credibility of 250 and help balance, mostly state budgets and utilize the foreclosed housing, harmless prisoners should be transferred to halfway houses to cut costs from $25,000 to $5,000 annually.  Halfway houses should be the only federal finance of local jurisdictions.  Because of their poor performance, non-cognizance, drug jurisdiction and all around negative returns, spending growth in the DOJ must limited to 1%.  Noting the conflict of interest with the AG and President fiscal discipline will probably need to be enforced.  Taking into consideration how subversive the organization is on international affairs and to eliminate conflict of interest with the prior administration the President should appoint his own DEA Administrator, with the intention of transferring the agency to the Food and Drug Administration (FDA).   The Office of Violence against Women is propaganda for violence as it is written and needs to be amended to Office of Women’s Rights.  Growth should not begin with the $1 billion Recovery Act subsidy in 2009 but from 2008 wherefore savings in 2010 would be $6.5 billion, $7.9 billion in 2011 and $9.4 in 2012.

 

Table 12: Departments of State, International Assistance and Homeland Security Spending 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

State OMB

21,427

25,726

28,754

30,065

State Budget Request

15,826

17,613

16,400

16,500

International Assistance Programs OMB

14,797

23,899

24,343

28,223

International Assistance Budget Request

34,308

35,441

36,400

38,500

Total OMB

36,224

49,625

53,097

58,288

Total Budget Request

52,653

55,028

52,800

55,000

Difference

16,429

5,403

-297

-3,288

Homeland Security OMB

51,725

52,903

54,723

46,847

Homeland Security Budget Request

56,063

55,348

56,345

Source: State. Executive Budget Summary. Function 150 and Other International Programs. FY 2011, Department of Homeland Security. FY 2011 Budget in Brief

 

The Department of State was one of the original three departments created by the first Congress in 1789.  The Department of Homeland Security was created in 2001 to consolidate the immigration service, transportation and emergency management agencies of the federal government.  The Department of State and the U.S. Foreign Service costs would not have risen were it not for the $4.4 billion in supplemental funding received in 2010.  Foreign assistance, will lessen the costs incurred by war, economic or otherwise, through the peaceful diplomatic channel of international economic cooperation focused on ODA and mutual prosperity.  The OMB really needs to account for the division between State and International Assistance programs more accurately for the United States to benefit more from the appreciation of foreign assistance funding.  There is little difference between the requests of the Department of Homeland Security and the OMB.  The 27% increase in Homeland Security spending in 2009 from $40 billion to $52 billion is the only alarming thing, when in controversy the lower numbers of OMB should be used. Whereas Homeland Security costs fluctuated considerably over the agencies first decade, it seems wise to go with the higher numbers, mitigated by OMB.  To make America safe this money must pay for the amendment of Title 22 Foreign Relations and Intercourse (a-FRaI-d) to Title 22 Foreign Relations (FR-ee), USAID ANE Bureau must be divided into the Bureaus for Middle East and Central Asia (MECA) including Indonesia and North Africa and South East Asia (SEA) including Oceania and the Court of International Trade of the United States (CoITUS) needs to be changed to Customs Court (CC).

 

Table 13: Department of Defense Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Defense – Military OMB

528,578

594,662

636,775

692,031

721,285

653,424

% Change

5.9%

12.5%

7.1%

8.7%

4.2%

-9.4

DoD Budget Request

693,000

708,000

DoD Overseas Contingency Operations

157,400

159,300

0

DoD Lending (Savings)

172,000

195,000

200,000

0

DoD Revised Budget

464,775

497,031

508,000

400,000

DoD Savings

172,000

195,000

200,000

253,424

Source: US DoD. FY 2011 Budget Request. February 2010

 

Since the creation of America’s first army in 1775, the Department and its predecessor organizations have evolved into a global presence of 3 million individuals, stationed in more than 140 countries.  The U.S. Department of Defense is one of the largest organizations in the world. It executes a budget more than twice that of the world’s largest corporation, has more personnel than the populations of a third of the world’s countries, and provides medical care for as many patients as the largest health management organization.  The size ($712.1 billion for FY 2011) and complexity of the Defense budget—i.e., $548.9 billion of discretionary base budget authority (BA), $3.9 billion in mandatory base BA, and $159.3 billion of discretionary BA for overseas contingency operations (OCO).  The FY 2011 budget includes an increase of 1.4 percent for military basic pay.  The number of soldiers is expected to increase from 1.32 million in 2010 to 1.4 million in 2011, plus 845,000 reserves. The request supports average U.S. troop levels of Afghanistan: 102,000; Iraq: 43,000; for a total of:145,000.  The FY 2011 budget includes $50.7 billion for the DoD Unified Medical Budget.  The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 included approximately $7.4 billion in Defense-related appropriations, $4.6 billion for USACE.  The DoD budget is so grossly surplus OMB reports they lent $172 billion in 2009, $195 billion in 2010 and $200 billion in 2011; this money needs to be returned to the General Fund of the Treasury.  The military is not a financial firm, surplus funds must be returned to the General Fund of the Treasury.  The President needs to confidently terminate special funding and offensive military operations for OCOs as scheduled in 2011, afterwards any remaining occupying forces will be funded by regular appropriations, like those on bases in 143 other nations.  It is imperative that the President appoint his own Secretary of Defense to eliminate conflict of interest with the prior administration.  An estimated $40 billion in maintenance costs can be saved by achieving nuclear nonproliferation goals for 2012 and more closing and selling unnecessary military bases and installations.

 

Table 14: Veterans Affairs Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Veterans Affairs OMB

84,749

95,457

124,565

124,215

122,369

% Change

16.4%

12.6%

30.5%

0.3%

-1.5%

Veterans Affairs Congressional Submission

90,900

97,000

111,035

121,604

125,252

VA Discretionary (medical)

46,000

50,600

56,100

60,300

VA Entitlement (benefits)

44,900

47,100

58,000

64,700

Defense – Civil (Duplicate of benefits) Savings

45,785

57,276

54,317

55,719

56,457

Source: VA FY 2011 Budget Submission

 

Although this VA benefits system traces its roots back to 1636, when the Pilgrims of Plymouth Colony were at war with the Pequot Indians and the Pilgrims passed a law which stated that disabled soldiers would be supported by the colony the establishment of the Veterans Administration came in 1930 when Congress authorized the President to "consolidate and coordinate Government activities affecting war veterans" to fulfill President Lincoln’s promise – “To care for him who shall have borne the battle, and for his widow, and his orphan”.  VA operates the largest direct health care delivery system in America.  On September 30, 2009, there were an estimated 23.1 million living Veterans, with 23 million of them in the U.S. and Puerto Rico, there were an estimated 35.2 million dependents.  The enormous budgetary increases create a moral hazard for the federal budget.  The VA definitely needs to account for their pension funds better.  For their part the OMB is duplicating veterans benefits, burial and other programs in the column titled, Defense – Civil.  Therein can saving be found for the federal budget.  OMB must eliminate the entire cost of the Defense-Civil column whereas the $179 million for Armed Forces Retirement Home Gulf Port facility renovation is really not much for such an engorged VA budget that duplicates.  Spending growth should remain stable at 3% after 2012. 

 

Table 15: Civil Corp of Engineers Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Civil - Corps of Engineers OMB

5,075

6,842

10,536

6,929

5,879

Corps of Engineers Budget Request

5,406

5,242

5,589 +

4,600 ARRA

5,438

5,500

Corps of Engineers Savings

1,600

347

1,491

379

Source: USACE. Program Budget. FY 2011. February 2010

 

The Army established the Corps of Engineers as a separate, permanent branch on March 16, 1802, the Civil Works Program was founded in 1824.  USACE employes 32,400 people, approximately 22,000 of them civilians.  From the beginning, many politicians wanted the Corps to contribute to both military construction and works "of a civil nature."  In the late 1960s, the Corps became a leading environmental preservation and restoration agency.  OMB has overestimated the civil works budget of USACE 2009-2011. The Recovery Ace allocated $4.6 billion to USACE, that appears to have been incorporated into the 2010 OMB figures.  2009 and 2011 remain more than a billion overestimated by OMB.

 

Table 16: Department of Health and Human Services Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Health and Human Services OMB

700,442

796,267

868,762

934,426

911,291

% Change

4.2%

13.7%

9.1%

7.6%

-2.5%

HHS Budget Authority

ARRA

779,419

800,271

880,861

HHS Recovery Act ARRA Total of 3 yr. spread

121,315

55,087

45,162

21,066

HHS Total Budget Authority ARRA spread

834,506

845,432

901,927

HHS Outlays ARRA spread

794,234

859,763

910,679

HHS Discretionary Outlays

75,603

90,703

92,903

HHS Food and Drug Administration

2,055

2,363

2,508

HHS Health Resources and Resources Administration

9,743

7,483

7,511

HHS Indian Health Service

4,081

4,052

4,406

HHS Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

6,868

6,475

6,432

HHS National Institutes of Health

40,796

31,089

32,089

HHS Substance Abuse Mental Health Services

3,335

3,432

3,541

HHS Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality

700

HHS Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services

3,230

3,415

3,601

HHS Administration for Children and Family Services

22,457

17,336

17,480

HHS Administration on Aging

1,594

1,516

1,625

HHS General Department Management

382

490

544

HHS Office for Civil Rights

40

41

44

HHS Office of the National Coordinator

2,044

42

78

HHS Medicare Hearing and Appeals

65

71

78

HHS Office of the Inspector General

62

50

52

HHS Health Care Fraud and Abuse Control

198

311

561

HHS Public Health and Social Services Emergency Fund

10,661

738

734

HHS Prevention and Wellness

700

HHS Medicare Eligibility Accruals

35

36

37

HHS Aligning Head Start to Budget Year

ARRA

1,389

HHS Total Discretionary Budget Authority ARRA 2009

22,417

110,412

78,940

81,233

HHS Total Discretionary Inc. Fees ARRA 2009

117,374

87,064

90,252

HHS Discretionary Outlays ARRA spread

75,603

90,703

92,203

HHS Mandatory Outlays

118,984

718,631

859,763

910,679

HHS Medicare

424,747

444,003

468,601

HHS Medicaid

250,924

275,383

296,841

HHS TANF

18,933

22,083

21,001

HHS Foster Care & Adoption Assistance

6,859

7,403

7,442

HHS Children’s Health Insurance Program

7,547

9,103

10,485

HHS Child Support Enforcement

4,352

4,710

4,434

HHS Child Care

2,952

2,925

3,417

HHS Social Services Block Grant

1,854

2,118

1,832

HHS Other Mandatory Programs

1,686

2,340

4,825

HHS Offsetting Collections

ARRA

-1,223

-1,008

-992

HHS Budget Request Total 

141,000

779,419

800,271

880,861

HHS Budget 2.5% Growth Limit Inc. ARRA 2009

141,000

717,953

735,902

754,299

773,157

HHS Savings ARRA 2009

-62,686

132,860

189,127

138,134

Source: HHS FY 2011 President’s Budget for HHS. February 1, 2010

 

The foundation of the public health service is typically attributed to July 16, 1798, when President John Adams signed a bill into law that created the Marine Hospital Service but the increasing involvement of the Service in public health activities led to its name being changed again in 1912 to the Public Health Service (PHS).  It was not until the social programs of the 1960, particularly the Medicare and Medicaid legislation of 1965, that health became a major expense of the federal government.  Subsequently the DEA was founded, income inequality took off and health care costs have soared, but the United States remains the only industrialized nation with a private health insurance system that fails to provide universal health insurance.  As the result health costs more in the US, 16.5% of the GDP, than in any other nation, and healthcare outcomes are consistently better in nations with social insurance or, better yet, national health services, where it is professionally irresponsible for a health care professional to “bill” a patient..  There are also a number of agency names that need to be changed, the whole Department needs to be renamed the Public Health Department, but they must pass the test and transfer the DEA to the FDA and permit the TSDR to prohibit disease pathogens of abuse, SAMHSA needs to be renamed Social Work Administration (SWA) and once it has assumed responsibility for the adjudication of mental illness and substance abuse leave the department with other social and family agencies and CMS needs to be renamed National Health Insurance (NHI).  The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (the Recovery Act) poses a fiscal problem because it provides HHS programs with an estimated $141 billion for Fiscal Years 2009 – 2019.  HHS now has a slush fund and must limit their budgetary inflation to less than 2.5% from 2008.  This will help to control costs market-wide.  OMB needs to transfer the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Act of 1981, $5,100,000,000 in FY 2009 and 2010 and $3.3 billion in 2012 spending $4.5 billion in 2009, $4.9 billion in 2010 and $3.6 billion in 2011 to the Department of Energy.  Under current law OMB needs to limit the public health care budgetary cost growth to 2.5% from 2008 and apply the ARRA cost to the 2009 budget.  This will save $132 billion in 2010, $189 billion in 2011 and $138 billion in 2012.

 

Table 17: Department of Interior Budget Authority and Receipts 2009-2011(in millions)

 

 

2009

2010

2011

Change from 2009

 

OMB Estimates

11,775

12,042

14,045

2,003

Savings 2011

Current Appropriations

11,371

12,216

12,177

-39

1,868

Permanent Appropriations

5,596

7,740

5,780

-1,960

 

Total Appropriations

16,967

19,956

17,957

-1,999

 

Receipts

11,291

9,652

13,982

4,330

 

Balance

5,676

10,304

3,975

-6,329

 

Source: DOI. FY 2011 Interior Budget in Brief. Department Overview. January 29, 2010 Pg. 7

 

The Department of the Interior was created by Congress in 1849 to handle domestic matters, it has 70,000 employees.  The Department supports over 1.3 million jobs and over $370 billion in economic activity. Parks, refuges, and monuments generate over $24 billion in recreation and tourism. Conventional and renewable energy produced on Interior lands and waters results in $292 billion in economic benefits and the water managed by Interior supports over $25 billion in agriculture.  On January 14, 2010 Ken Salazar, Secretary of the Interior famously said, “We do not inherit the Earth from our ancestors,” says a familiar Native American proverb, “we borrow it from our children.” The estimate for revenue collections by the Department in 2011 is $14.0 billion, more than offsetting the budget request for current appropriations.  In 2011, Interior will continue an exemplary record of producing revenue for the U.S. Treasury. The estimate for revenue collections by the Department in 2011 is $14.0 billion, more than offsetting the budget request for current appropriations.  This presents a problem for the accounting of OMB.  Historically OMB estimates cling to the current appropriations, ignoring the permanent appropriations and disregarding the receipts.  Does the Treasury include these receipts in revenues?  Should OMB use the balance instead, for a better budget?  Without making drastic changes, the OMB needs to adhere to the Secretary’s 2011 budget request for $12.2 billion, saving $1.9 billion from than the $14 billion OMB estimate.  In the future, DOI requests look reasonable. 

 

Table 18: Department of Agriculture Balance FY 2008-2009 (in millions)

 

 

FY 2008

FY 2009

% Change

Fund Balance

$64,595

$72,334

12%

Accounts Receivable, Net

$10,298

$8,866

-14%

Direct Loan and Guarantee, Net

$81,774

$85,657

5%

General Property, Equipment Net

$2,973

$2,972

0%

Other

$733

$733

11%

Total Assets

$160,373

$170,639

6%

Debt

$77,577

$84,119

8%

Loan Guarantee Liability

$1,333

$1,844

38%

Benefits Due

$2,764

$3,119

13%

Other

$39,298

$36,642

-7%

Total Liability

$120,972

$120,724

4%

Unexpended Appropriations

$30,783

$38,302

24%

Cumulative Results of Operations

$8,618

$6,613

-23%

Total Net Position

$39,401

$44,915

14%

Total Liabilities and Net Position

$160,373

$170,639

6%

Source: USDA 2009 Performance and Accountability Report pg. 10

            

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) provides leadership on issues related to food, agriculture, food safety, rural development, and natural resources.  It was founded in 1862 by President Abraham Lincoln.  The number of food stamp beneficiaries is reported to have risen 22.5% from 31 million to 38 million between November 2008 and 2009.   The USDA employs 103,000 workers.  USDA receives most of its funding from appropriations authorized by Congress and administered by the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Total budgetary resources consist of the balance at the beginning of the year, appropriations received during the year, spending authority from offsetting collections and other budgetary resources. Total budgetary resources were $208.7 billion for FY 2009 compared to $172.7 billion in FY 2008, an increase of $36 billion.  The increase in budget authority was primarily due to $28 billion in appropriations received from ARRA. Net outlays increased $25.6 billion in FY 2009, mostly because of the $18.9 billion increase at FNS for the Women, Infants and Children (WIC) and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance (SNAP) programs.  Despite cost increases, according to page 10 of the USDA 2009 Performance and Accountability Report, there were $38.3 billion in unexpended appropriations in FY 2009 and $30.8 billion in FY2008.  Furthermore, the cumulative results of operations netted an estimated $8.6 billion in FY 2008 and $6.6 billion in FY 2009.  USDA should return surplus funds, to the Treasury, estimated at $42 billion and the OMB should amend budgetary estimates to better reflect the Department balance sheet, after 2010 growth should however be more like 12% during recession and 5%, or less in normal years. 

 

Table 19: Department of Commerce Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

 

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2011

2012

2012

Commerce Budget

6,475

7,721

10,718

16,714

11,500

8,400

10,430

8,600

Savings

 

 

 

 

 

3,100

 

1,800

Source: OMB Historical Budget Table 4.1 Outlays by Agency 1962-2015

 

The Department of Commerce and Labor was created by the Act of February 14, 1903. The cost of the Department of Commerce whose budget increases 19.2% in 2009 to $7.7 billion and 38.8% to 10.7 billion in 2010 before decreasing 31.9% to $11.5 billion in 2011 is explained by the cost of the 2010 Decennial Census Program estimated at $11.25 billion dollars in 2005.  Whereas the cost increases between 2009 and 2010 amount to a total of $12 billion over 2008, the extraordinary $11.4 billion cost of the decennial census has been covered.  The 49% increase over three years from $7.7 billion to $11.5 billion, 16% annually, however seems too much.  3% annual growth is much more reasonable, wherefore the Department of Commerce budget in 2011 would be $8.4 billion and in 2012 $8.6 billion, for a savings of $3.1 billion in 2011 and $1.8 billion in 2012.  Whereas the cost of the decennial Census is exorbitant and needs analysis to reduce per capita costs and the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) needs to change their name to the Bureau of Economics (BE) to escape the infringement of the DEA, growth in the Department budget should not exceed the reasonable GDP growth estimate of 3%. 

 

Table 20: Department of Labor Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Labor OMB

58,838

138,157

209,265

116,902

90,790

Labor Total Budget Request

142,503

162,003

79,982

70,000

Savings

-4,436

47,262

36,920

20,790

Source: DOL. FY 2011 Detailed Budget Documentation

 

The Department of Labor (DOL) was created in the DOL Organic Act of March 4, 1913.  DOL fosters and promotes the welfare of the job seekers, wage earners, and retirees of the United States.  DOL received a total of $34.4 billion in Recovery Act funds, including $29.5 billion of that for mandatory UT funds, these have been included in the budget request total for 2009.  The FY 2010 President’s Budget request is $13.3 billion in discretionary budget authority and 17,477 full-time equivalent employees (FTE).  The vast majority of increased DOL spending is the result of the dramatic increase in unemployment and unemployment insurance costs.  The irony is that unemployment insurance comes out of the deficit and the deficit takes money away from higher employment yielding investments, a vicious cycle, but an important social safety net in these hard economic times.  Federal unemployment insurance costs an estimated $1 billion annually, it has not been so high as 2004-2005.  In FY 2008, state agencies collected $32.2 billion in state unemployment taxes, and paid $42.9 billion in Federal and state unemployment benefits to 8.9 million beneficiaries.  During FY 2009 the state agencies are expected to collect $36.7 billion in state unemployment taxes and to pay $102.9 billion in Federal and state unemployment benefits to 12,000,000 beneficiaries. The FY 2010 Budget request for UI State Administration is $3,195,645,000, a decrease of $78,992,000 from the FY 2009 appropriation of $3,274,637.  The formula for FY 2010 finances $28,600,000 per 100,000.  An extension of the Emergency Unemployment Compensation (EUC08) program through December 31, 2009, with a phase out to May 31, 2010, estimated to cost $23.7 billion providing benefits to 3.4 million unemployed workers.  An addition of $25 to all UI checks for weeks of unemployment ending before January 1, 2010, with a phase out ending on June 30, 2010, supplementing the checks for 16.3 million individuals and estimated to cost $8.7 billion.  The high cost of unemployment insurance is undeniable, without thoroughly analyzing state UI trust fund balances, however the OMB must defer to the DOL estimates, that are significantly lower.

 

Table 21: Social Security Administration Balance Sheet 2008-2012 (in millions)

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Social Security Administration (on-budget) OMB

58,602

78,657

85,108

80,933

77,304

Social Security Administration Budget Justification

86,712

87,974

Social Security Administration (off-budget) OMB

599,197

648,892

683,867

708,620

738,430

Social Security Administration Income

819,000

848,000

900,000

946,000

Social Security Administration Expenses

683,000

709,000

735,000

773,000

Social Security Administration Savings

137,000

139,000

155,000

175,000

Social Security Administration Assets

2,203,000

2,340,000

2,479,000

2,634,000

2,809,000

Source: SSA. FY 2011 Budget Overview

 

The Economic Security Act that created social security was signed by Franklin D. Roosevelt on August 14, 1935.  The Department has subsequent evolved into the independent Social Security Administration (SSA) it is today.  In 2009, more than 51 million retired or disabled workers, survivors, and their families received over $659 billion in benefit payments. Nearly 8 million Americans received SSI benefits totaling $49 billion.  Under the Recovery Act SSA issued a one-time payment of $250 to nearly 55 million Social Security and Supplemental Security Income beneficiaries.  The recession has driven up the number of new disability claims from 580,000 to over one million, at any given time, an estimated 5 million claims annually.  The Budget proposes $12.5 billion for SSA, an increase of $930 million, or (8 percent), above the 2010 enacted level of $11.6 billion. the increase in staffing in 2011 and will allow SSA to provide services faster.  They have already reduced the disability appeals backlog from over 700,000 to 680,000.   The pride and joy of Social Security is however the 12.4% payroll tax, split between employer and employee, 6.2%.   With income, $819 billion in 2009, exceeding expenses, $683 billion in 2009, by 20% in 2009, for several decades, SSA has accumulated more than $2 trillion in savings, all in safe and secure federal Treasury notes, bonds etc.  The SSA surplus is the primary government purchaser of the federal deficit, eg. the Congressional social security “raid”.  It is rumored that as the result of the high number of early retirees and disability applicants from the recession expenses have exceeded payroll tax revenues in 2010, but not both payroll and interest income.  Social Security has accumulated vast savings and is not in danger of insolvency.  Social Security does need to become more accessible to the poor and earn some money, maybe a lot, disciplining medical malpractice, to ultimately liberate government health insurance and social welfare programs, as intended by Social Security Statute.  The OMB need make no adjustments; SSA should earn any minor shortfalls settling medical malpractice settlements.

 

Table 22: Housing and Urban Development Spending 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

Housing and Urban Development OMB

61,019

62,518

53,082

48,153

HUD Budget Request

61,811

49,347

48,913

48,153

Savings

-792

13,171

4,169

0

Source: HUD. FY 2011 Budget. February 1, 2010. Pg, 39

 

The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) was created at the end of the Great Depression in the U.S. Housing Act of 1937.  HUD's fiscal year 2010 budget request, $43.72 billion (net of receipts generated by FHA and the Government National Mortgage Association, or "Ginnie Mae") was a 7 percent increase over the fiscal year 2009 enacted level of $40.72 billion   In 2008 the HUD budget was $45.6 billion.  HUD has now obligated 98 percent of the $13.6 billion in ARRA funds stewarded by the Department - and disbursed $2.9 billion dollars.  ARRA funds drove up spending on HUD in 2009 by $16 billion.  By all accounts this stimulus was successful in stabilizing the housing market, that was the underlying cause of the financial economic crisis.   As measured by the widely referenced FHFA index, home prices have been rising more or less steadily since last April. For 2009 as a whole, the FHFA home price index rose year-to-year for the first time in three years. As recently as January of 2009 house prices had been projected to decline by as much as 5 percent in 2009 by leading major macro-economic forecasters.  Americans held roughly $6.2 trillion in home equity in the third quarter of 2009, up from its lowest point of $5.3 trillion in the first quarter of 2009.  The housing market seems to be on the rebound.  The OMB budget estimates must not be distorted by ARRA disbursements and need to be adjusted to reflect HUD budget requests.

 

Table 23: General Services Administration Recovery Act Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

General Services Administration OMB

27

343

319

1,782

2,279

2,170

% Change

12.5%

1,170%

-6.9%

4,586%

27.9%

-4.8%

Source: GSA. 2009 Agency Financial Report. A Legacy of Service, a Pursuit of Excellence. November 12, 2009

 

GSA was created by the U.S. Federal Property and Administrative Services Act of 1949, as amended. GSA is a federal agency of about 13,000 people, an annual budget of approximately $16 billion and about $30 billion in federal assets.  Usually GSA earns 96 percent of revenues from other federal customers. In FY 2009, GSA was appropriated approximately $5.9 billion under the Recovery Act. The majority of these funds ($5.6 billion) will be used to convert federal buildings into high performance green buildings and to build new energy-efficient federal buildings, courthouses and land ports of entry. By the end of FY 2009, $1.4 billion of the $5.6 billion was obligated.

 

Table 24: Small Business Administration Budget 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Small Business Administration OMB

528

2,246

5,978

1,388

1,112

SBA Budget Request

2,127

5,598

1,228

1.112

Source: SBA. President’s Proposed FY 2011 Budget for SBA

 

The U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA) was created in 1953 as an independent agency of the federal government to aid, counsel, assist and protect the interests of small business concerns, to preserve free competitive enterprise and to maintain and strengthen the overall economy of our nation.  The SBA guarantees a portion of 7(a) loans made and administered by commercial lending institutions. The 504 program, provides long-term, fixed rate financing for major assets such as real estate and heavy equipment.  The Microloan Program provides small (up to $35,000) short-term loans for working capital or the pur­chase of inventory, supplies, furniture, fixtures, machinery and/or equipment.  SBA’s Small Business Investment Company program provides venture capital to small firms.  The SBA is the smallest of the federal credit agen­cies. Its budget for FY 2009 was $12.3 billion, with $4.9 billion for budgetary resources and $7.4 billion for loan financing (non-budgetary). As of September 30, 2009, the SBA had guaranteed $62.2 billion of loan principal, up 0.8 percent from the $61.7 billion guaranteed as of September 30, 2008. At the end of FY 2009, the total out­standing balance of SBA’s total loan portfolio was $90.5 billion, an increase of 2.7 percent above FY 2008. SBA’s portfolio has increased 70 percent since FY 2001.  The Recovery Act included $730 million for the SBA.  SBA is an ideal investment for the economic situation, it is okay for this budget to increase.  In the future the General Fund of the Treasury should see returns on this investment in the Historical Tables of OMB.

 

Table 25: National Aeronautics and Space Administration and National Science Foundation Spending 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

NASA OMB

19,168

19,123

17,863

18,953

NASA Budget Request

18,784

18,724

19,000

19,570

Discrepancy

384

-399

-1,137

-617

National Science Foundation OMB

5,958

7,819

7,647

7,558

National Science Foundation Budget Request

6,872

7,424

7,500

7,725

Discrepancy

-947

223

58

-168

Source: NASA. FY 2011 Budget Estimates; NSF. FY 2011 Budget Request to Congress, February 1, 2010

 

The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) drives advances in science, technology, and exploration to enhance knowledge, education, innovation, economic vitality, stewardship of the Earth, and solutions to national and global challenges. It was created in 1958.  The President’s Budget invests an additional $6 billion in NASA over the next five years – an overall $100 billion commitment to the agency – bringing annual appropriations over the $20 billion mark, for good.  NASA’s Constellation Program aiming to send men back to the moon was cancelled.  Created in the National Science Foundation Act of 1950 (Public Law 81-507) NSFs mission is to promote the progress of science; to advance the national health, prosperity, and welfare; and to secure the national defense.  NSF should not need to fight to keep out of the 6’s.  It is unfortunate the entire budget had to become so mathematically deviant to spare the NSF.  There is little reason to adjust either NASA or the NSF budget, both should stay on a path of sustainable growth in the vicinity of 3%.

 

Table 26: Department of Transportation Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Transportation OMB

64,944

73,004

90,944

86,665

82,817

Transportation Budget Request ARRA fund spread

73,004

90,944

86,578

Transportation Budget Request ARRA fund 2009

112,344

78,428

79,176

Savings

-39,340

12,516

7,402

Transportation ARRA + 3% growth

64,944

112,344

68,899

70,966

73,095

Savings

-39,340

22,045

15,699

9,722

Source: DOT. FY 2011 Budget Highlights. February 1, 2010

The Department of Transportation was established by an act of Congress on October 15, 1966. The Department’s first official day of operation was April 1, 1967. The mission of the Department is to serve the United States by ensuring a fast, safe, efficient, accessible and convenient transportation system that meets our vital national interests and enhances the quality of life of the American people, today and into the future.  The Department of Transportation employs over 57,000 people.  Out of the $48.1 billion provided to the Department of Transportation, under ARRA, $34.6 billion (approximately 72 percent) has been obligated and nearly $8.8 billion has been outlayed.  For the sake of balancing the budget it is better that ARRA funds be accounted for in 2009 when they were appropriated.  Taking into consideration the extremely large amount of capital that injected into DOT in 2009 under ARRA growth must be limited, 3% annually should both offset inflation and not undermine Recovery Act investments in clean energy.  Also taking into consideration the fact Secretary LaRood and Obama hail from the same state, it is not unreasonable that budget reductions would be enforced to sustain a reasonable rate of growth.  More auditing is recommended whereas the ARRA investment was so large, unspent funds may need to be returned to avoid the financial instability of budget reductions. 

 

Table 27: Environmental Protection Agency Spending 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Environmental Protection Agency OMB

7,939

8,070

11,301

11,177

9,980

% Change

-3.9%

1.7%

40.4%

-1.1%

-10.7%

EPA Budget Request

7,500

7,600

10,300

10,000

Savings                         

470

1,001

1,177

3% growth from 2004

9,624

Savings

346

Source: EPA. FY 2011 Budget in Brief. February 24, 2010

 

In July of 1970, the White House and Congress worked together to establish the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) in response to the growing public demand for cleaner water, air and land.  The EPA employs more than 17,000 full time employees.  Not only does OMB consistently over-report EPA budgetary costs but the EPA underwent funding cuts during the second term of the Bush Administration that need to be offset to restore EPA to full function.  The EPA should not be begrudges their spending increases in 2010 and 2011 that are largely invested in infrastructure.  Determining at what level to begin financially stable growth is however difficult.  In 2004 funding reached $8.4 billion before being cut to $7.6 billion, when the Bush administration broke with the Kyoto Protocol and environmentalists fell out of favor.  Presuming a 3% annual growth from 2004, after a brief Recovery Act apology yields a budget of $9.6 billion in 2012 from whence steady growth of 3% annually can be projected.

 

Table 28: Department of Energy Budget 2009-2012 (in million)

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

OMB Energy Budget

23,683

38,278

44,390

34,792

Department Request

33,856

26,525

28,400

30,311

Savings

11,753

15,990

4,481

Recovery Act

36,725

Source: DOE. FY 2011 Budget Request to Congress

 

The Department of Energy was activated on October 1, 1977 after decades under the Atomic Energy Act of 1946. The Department of Energy’s Fiscal Year (FY) 2011 budget request of $28.4 billion, is a 6.8 percent or $1.8 billion increase from FY 2010.  The FY 2011 budget builds on the $36.7 billion in Recovery Act funding. By the end of FY 2010, the Department expects to obligate 100 percent and outlay roughly 35-40 percent of Recovery Act funds. In developing the FY 2011 budget request, the Department has taken these investments into account. Recovery Act investments in energy conservation and renewable energy sources ($16.8 billion), environmental management ($6 billion), loan guarantees for renewable energy and electric power transmission projects ($4 billion), grid modernization ($4.5 billion), carbon capture and sequestration ($3.4 billion), basic science research ($1.6 billion), and the establishment of the Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy ($0.4 billion) will continue to strengthen the economy by providing much-needed investment, by saving or creating tens of thousands of direct jobs, cutting carbon emissions, and reducing U.S. dependence on foreign oil.  OMB definitely needs to account for DOE budget requests to reduce the deficit and attribute Recovery Act costs to 2009 for a total of $70.6 billion in 2009.  Whereas Energy is a priority during this age of global climate change we won’t begrudge DOE their 6.8% annual growth although the Recovery Act does compromise it.  Using DOE budget request figures reduces the deficit $11.8 billion in 2010, $15.9 billion in 2011 and $4.5 billion in 2012.  DOE should definitely take responsibility for the Low Income Energy Assistance Program in order to keep it rational and provide incentive for DOE to keep energy prices under control, and justify their enormous increases in appropriations.  OMB needs to transfer the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Act of 1981, $5,100,000,000 in FY 2009 and 2010 and $3.3 billion in 2012 spending $4.5 billion in 2009, $4.9 billion in 2010 and $3.6 billion in 2011 to the Department of Energy.

 

  Table 29: Office of Personnel Management Budget Appropriations 2008-2012 (in millions)

 

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Office of Personnel Management OMB

58,431

64,393

72,302

71,603

73,463

75,956

OPM Budget Request

40,138

41,158

42,200

44,000

46,000

Savings

24,255

31,114

29,403

29, 463

29,956

Source: OPM. FY 2009 Agency Financial Report. November 16, 2009. Pg. 51

 

The U.S. Office of Personnel Management is an independent agency of the U.S. government, established by President James Carter's executive order in 1978. OPM is responsible for recruiting, hiring, and setting benefits policies for 1.9 million Federal civilian employees. OPM’s mission is to ensure the Federal Government has an effective and efficient civilian workforce. OPM administers the retirement program for the Federal Government and its employees. The program is massive in scale and complexity, supporting over 2.5 million annuitants and managing the Federal retirement and disability trust fund, with over $764 billion in assets, including $20 billion in mandatory payments.  From the $199.6 billion in budgetary resources OPM had available during FY 2009, it incurred obligations of $150.3 billion less the $31.4 billion transferred from the Treasury’s General Fund for benefits for participants in the Retirement, Health Benefits and Life Insurance Programs. OPM has not produced an FY 2011 Budget Request.   OPM budgetary requests are confusing, contradictory and inadequate; they do however agree that OPM receives around $40 billion in budget appropriations and most of their funding comes from payroll deductions from 1.9 million federal workers with an estimated $1.4 trillion in retirement liabilities outstanding.  Savings to the federal budget from this discovery are estimated at $24 billion in 2008, $31 billion in 2009, $29 billion in 2010 and 2011. OPM really needs to get a working balance sheet.  This audit reveals OMB to be over-reporting OPM costs by more than 50%.  OMB should pay closer attention to this account that did not publicly show up for the FY 2011 Budget Request, OPM needs internal controls for OMB budgetary figures. OMB is dramatically over-reporting budgetary costs and must reduce them, Congress may need to shore up retirement benefits.

 

Table 30: Department of Education Spending 2009-2012 (in billions)

 

2009

2010

2011

2012

OMB Education Budget

53.4

106.9

94.3

85.2

ED Budget Summary

137.6

59.2

77.8

80

Savings

-84.2

47.7

16.5

5.2

Discretionary

45.4

46.2

49.7

Pell Grants(Mandatory since 2010)

36.5

27.0

34.9

Other Mandatory

-25.4

-14.0

-6.8

Source: ED. FY 2011 Budget Summary February 1, 2010

 

The U.S. Department of Education was created in the Education Reorganization Act of 1980 from the Department of Health, Education and Welfare, ED is the agency of the federal government that establishes policy for, administers, and coordinates most federal assistance to education.  The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA) delivered nearly $100 billion to States and school districts to help address budget shortfalls and meet the needs of schools and students in the midst of the most severe financial crisis and economic recession since the Great Depression. This funding helped save or create an estimated 400,000 jobs, including 325,000 education jobs.  The Department acted swiftly to provide a large portion of these funds to States in response to drastic budget shortfalls. As of December 31, 2009, the Department had awarded over $69.3 billion to States or 71 percent of its total ARRA funds.  The ED budget has a history of leaps and bounds, rising from $46 billion in 2002 to $73 billion in 2005 and then to $93 billion in 2006 before dropping to $66 billion in 2006 and 2007 and to $53 billion in 2009, according to OMB.  States are generally obligated to spend 50% of their budgets on education.  When states fall short the federal government disburses funds to keep the teachers employed.  Whereas the funds have already been appropriated and mostly disbursed it seems wiser, at least better for the budget, to follow the accounting of ED, so that the $100 billion Recovery Act is allocated to FY 2009, so as not to disturb future budgeting.  Were ED budget estimates adhered to the $59.2 billion budget in 2010 would yield $47.7 billion in savings, the $77.8 billion in 2011 would yield $16.5 billion in savings.     

 

IV. Concluding Remarks

 

Table 31: Savings to the Deficit Accrued by Imposing Agency Spending Limits 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

Legislative Branch

4,702

4,702

5,423

4,294

5,579

4,294

5,292

4,294

Judicial Branch

6,645

6,645

7,159

6,711

7,512

6,777

7,351

6,845

Executive Office of the President

742

742

715

715

501

501

427

427

Agriculture

114,440

100,334

142,016

89,689

145,748

100,452

137,917

105,474

Interior

11,775

11,371

12,042

12,216

14,045

12,177

12,803

12,000

Environmental Protection Agency

8,070

7,600

11,301

10,300

11,177

10,000

9,980

9,624

Energy

23,683

70,581

38,278

26,525

44,390

28,400

34,792

30,311

Commerce

10,718

10,718

16,714

16,714

11,500

8,400

10,430

8,600

Education

53,400

137,600

106,900

59,200

94,300

77,800

85,200

80,000

State

21,472

15,826

25,726

17,613

28,754

16,400

30,065

16,500

International Assistance

14,794

34,308

23,899

35,441

24,343

36,400

28,223

38,500

Homeland Security

51,725

51,725

52,903

52,903

54,723

54,723

46,847

46,847

Housing and Urban Development

61,019

61,811

62,518

49,347

53,082

48,913

48,153

48,153

Transportation

73,004

112,344

90,944

68,899

86,665

70,966

82,817

73,095

Office of Personnel Management

72,302

41,158

71,603

42,200

73,463

44,000

75,956

46,000

General Services Administration

319

319

1,782

1,782

2,279

2,279

2,170

2,170

National Aeronautics and Space Administration

19,168

18,784

19,123

18,724

17,863

19,000

18,953

19,570

National Science Foundation

5,958

6,872

7,819

7,424

7,647

7,500

7,558

7,725

Small Business Administration

2,246

2,127

5,978

5,598

1,388

1,228

1,112

1,112

Justice

27,711

27,711

30,333

23,816

31,924

24,054

33,700

24,295

Labor

138,157

142,503

209,265

162,003

116,902

79,982

90,790

70,000

Treasury

701,775

896,972

502,980

400,472

593,550

560,863

685,279

600,000

Veterans Affairs

95,457

97,000

124,565

111,035

124,215

121,604

122,369

125,252

Defense- Civil

57,276

0

54,317

0

55,719

0

56,457

0

Civil – Corps of Engineers

6,842

5,242

10,536

10,189

6,929

5,438

5,879

5,500

Defense – Military

636,775

464,775

692,031

497,031

721,285

508,000

653,424

400,000

Health and Human Services

796,267

858,953

868,762

735,902

934,426

754,299

911,291

773,157

Social Security Administration (on-budget)

78,657

78,657

85,108

85,108

80,933

80,933

77,304

77,304

Social Security Administration (off-budget)

648,892

683,000

683,867

709,000

708,620

735,000

738,430

773,000

Other Independent Agencies (on-budget)

47,636

47,635

2,001

2,001

31,832

31,832

26,928

26,928

Other Independent Agencies (off-budget)

304

304

6,426

6,426

4,226

4,226

-13

-13

Allowances

-4

-4

18,750

18,750

21,676

21,676

-4,187

-4,187

Undistributed Offsetting Receipts

-274,193

-274,193

-271,127

-271,127

-283,287

-283,287

-288,823

-288,823

Total Outlays

3,517,734

3,724,122

3,720,657

3,016,901

3,833,909

3,194,830

3,754,874

3,139,660

Total Receipts

2,105,000

2,105,000

2,165,000

2,165,000

2,567,000

2,567,000

2,926,000

2,926,000

Total Deficit

-1,412,734

-1,619,122

-1,555,657

-851,901

-1,266,909

-627,830

-828,874

-213,660

% GDP

9.8%

11.3%

10.6%

5.8%

8.2%

4.1%

4.9%

1.2%

Source: OMB Historical Budget Table 4.1 Outlays by Agency 1962-2015

 

Spending limits cut the federal deficit in half.  Whereas the cost of ARRA has already wreaked its havoc on the economy there is no reason to foist it upon further years.  Federal agencies must not capitalize upon the spending increase to dramatically increase their budgetary appropriations, reasonable growth of 1-5% from 2008, before ARRA, must be recalculated in many cases the agency did not do so on their own.  Tabulating the entire cost of ARRA in FY 2009 did increase the FY 2009 deficit from $1.4 trillion to $1.6 trillion, 9.8% of GDP to 11.3% of GDP.  In FY 2010 the $1.5 trillion deficit, 10.6% of GDP, can be reduced to $852 billion, 5.8% of GDP.  There is however hope for FY 2011, as the result of an estimated >$200 billion in TARP funds that will be returned to the General Fund of the Treasury on October 3, 2010, at the beginning of FY 2011, the FY 2011 deficit can be brought within 3% of GDP.  The spending limits set in this document would bring the deficit down from $1.3 trillion, 8.2% of GDP, to $628 billion, 3.9% of GDP, less $200 billion results in a deficit of $428 billion, a number once thought to be alarming, now a relieving, 2.8% of GDP.  Even without expecting the return of any TARP funds, that will be trickling back into the General Fund for more than a decade, with spending limits the budget will be reduced from $829 billion, 4.9% of GDP to an acceptable $214 billion, 1.2% of GDP in FY 2012.  The federal government will be able to purchase all of its debt.  To achieve a surplus, as must be our goal, more revenues will be needed. 

 

Table 32: Impact of FY 2011 Revenue Proposals 2010-2020 (in millions)

 

 

2010

2011

2012

2011-2020

 

Temporary Measures

-28,812

-53,319

-19,597

-47,501

 

Tax Cuts for Individuals and Families

0

-1,736

-13,083

-143,437

 

Tax Cuts for Business

0

-5,623

-6,195

-93,485

 

Extending Expiring Provisions 2011

-8,867

-21,539

-11,926

-46,677

 

Too Big to Fail Fee

52

8,189

8,256

93,282

 

Reinstate Superfund Taxes

0

1,203

1,608

18,925

 

Unemployment Surtax

0

0

1,458

14,196

 

Repeal LIFO Inventory Accounting

0

0

2,667

59,085

 

U.S. International Tax System

246

6,869

11,878

122,189

 

Insurance Reform

0

196

558

14,413

 

Eliminate Fossil Fuel Preferences

10

2,754

4,323

38,819

 

Tax Carried Profits as Ordinary Income

0

1,452

3,289

23,977

 

Modify Bio-fuel Credit

784

6,569

8,058

23,987

 

Repeal Lower-of-cost-or-market Accounting.

0

0

286

7,494

 

Expand Information Reporting

0

326

1,029

13,800

 

Improve Business Compliance

0

15

220

7,414

 

Strengthen Tax Administration

1

29

87

4,379

 

Expand Penalties

1

371

1,338

25,629

 

Modify Estate and Gift Discounts

40

816

1,630

23,729

 

Upper Income Tax Provisions

1,344

41,410

62,461

969,467

 

Other Initiatives

0

-167

-188

-3,746

 

Total Effect of Proposals

-38,315

-12,389

57,188

1,103,250

 

Repeal Make Work Pay Extension 2011

0

30,132

31,075

61,207

 

Repeal Information Reporting

0

-326

-1,029

-13,800

Revised 10 yr.

Revised Revenue Proposal Totals

0

29,806

30,046

47,407

1,150,657

Source: Treasury Department.  General Explanations of the Administration’s FY 2011 Revenue Proposals. February 2010. pg. 150

 

Under current law, the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts nearly all expire in 2011, returning the individual income tax to its pre-2001 level (except for a few permanent changes). In defining the baseline for his budget, the president assumes that, rather than ending in 2011, the tax cuts will become permanent. From that baseline, he would increase taxes in 2011 for those taxpayers, in the top two tax rates would rise back to their pre-2001 levels, from 33% to 36% for the second bracket and 39.6% in the highest bracket.  The president proposes limiting the value of deductions to no more than 28 percent starting in 2011.  The President must not seek to renew the ARRA Make Work Pay tax credit of $400 or $800 in 2011 and 2012.  The $61 billion cost of the deficit incurred thereby upon the market economy will cost many workers their entire jobs, for a marginal return tarnished by the communist dependency to subsidies that leveraged the fascist TARP fund, in the first place.  Stimulus spending is suppose to be targeted and temporary.  Other tax credits are more targeted to strengthen the family values, promote small business.  Temporary COBRA credits are important to allow temporarily unemployed people not to lose the value of years of health insurance premiums.  The revenue proposals are more uplifting, promising to reverse three decades of rising income inequality to 1990s levels.  Highlights are a financial crisis responsibility fee on large financial firms raising $93 billion over 10 years, reinstatement of the Superfund excise taxes $19 billion over 10 years, reform US international tax system $122 billion over 10 years from overseas corporations, reform insurance company treatment $14 billion over ten years, eliminate oil and gas preferences $36 billion, eliminate coal preferences $39 billion, the questionably invasive information reporting $14 billion over 10 years, improve business compliance $7 billion over 10 years, strengthen tax administration $4 billion over ten years, expand penalties $25 billion over ten years, close loopholes in estates and gifts $24 billion over 10 years and upper income tax provisions $969 billion over ten years.  As the result of the Making Work Pay credit this tax proposal resulted in $38 billion deficit in 2010 a $12 billion deficit in 2011 before turning a $57 billion profit in 2012, rising to $107 billion in 2013 and steadily to a high of $154 billion in 2014, earning $396 billion 2011-2015 and $1.1 trillion 2011-2020.  This is a good start on tax reform, the President is headed in the right direction, but more needs to be done taxing the super-rich at 1960 levels, 77%, or more reasonably all income over $1 million could be taxed at 50%.  

 

Table 33: Impact of Universal Health Insurance Options on the Budget 2011-2020 (in billions)

 

 

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2020

2011-2020

Social Proposal Outlays

-75

-80

-90

-100

-110

-150

-1,105

No Health Ins. Deduction Tax Receipts

688

709

730

752

774

890

7,813

NHI Added Government Health Costs

-1,412

-1,454

-1,498

-1,543

-1,589

-1,827

-16,037

NHI Health Insurance Assets (est.)

4,000

2,188

743

0

0

0

4,000

NHI Private Insurance Golden Parachute

-400

 

 

 

 

 

 

NHI Medicare Tax Revenues

547

585

623

1,452

2,269

2,609

17,671

NHI Medicare Tax Rate

2.9%

2.9%

2.9%

6.5%

9.6%

9.6%

2.9% - 9.6%

Impact on the Budget

688

709

-25

-791

-815

-937

-4,224

Source: HA. National Health Insurance: Immediately Achievement of Single Payer April 28, 2008

 

The social universal health insurance plan proposed by American Health Insurance Programs (AHIP) and Democratic Party would cost $75 to $150 billion annually over the next decade.  It is not practical to implement a new health insurance program until such a time when the deficit would be less than 3%.  The Democratic Party health care agenda must be censured, they are torturing the economy.  Nationalizing health insurance to create a national health services might be beneficial while the economy is in a recession and budget in a deficit because for several years the federal government could finance the extra health care costs by nationalizing an estimated $4 trillion in health insurance company assets and in this recovery window of two years, the federal government would be collecting former health insurance premium deductibles as revenues without having to finance the added cost of health insurance from these revenues, while the people would neither have to pay for health insurance premiums nor a Medicare tax increase, theoretically, the economy would flourish, and only one to two million former health insurance workers and administrators with golden parachutes would be out of work.  These funds would however soon run out, if they could be easily liquidated in the first place, and the Medicare premium would have to rise dramatically, because the federal share of health care costs would triple and new revenues would not cover half of the increase. Although a longer transition could be planned it is estimated that the ultimate Medicare tax rate would have to be around 9.6%.  Exemptions could be given to lower to middle income workers.  The cost of health insurance would be cheaper for all but the richest, but it would be a mandatory tax.  Health care professionals would be salaried government workers, the government would purchase supplies, patient medical records would not be used to get reimbursements, health prices and wages would be much easier to control, administration more simple, health care would be totally free.  In my opinion the government cannot afford the Democratic option at this time and a national health service might be more than the Democratic and Republican (DR) party can afford in the long run.  Congress should probably wait until 2012 to enact a universal health insurance option keeping in mind a national health service.

 

Table 34: Effects of Spending Limit, Revenue and Health Measures 2009-2012 (in millions)

 

2009

2009 s

2010

2010 s

2011

2011 s

2012

2012  s

Effect of Agency Spending Limits

Total Outlays

3,517,734

3,724,122

3,720,657

3,016,901

3,833,909

3,194,830

3,754,874

3,139,660

Total Receipts

2,105,000

2,105,000

2,165,000

2,165,000

2,567,000

2,567,000

2,926,000

2,926,000

Total Deficit

-1,412,734

-1,619,122

-1,555,657

-851,901

-1,266,909

-627,830

-828,874

-213,660

% GDP

9.8%

11.3%

10.6%

5.8%

8.2%

4.1%

5.1%

1.2%

Total Public Debt

11,876,000

12,082,000

13,787,000

13,289,000

15,144,000

14,008,000

16,336,000

14,584,000

% GDP

83.4%

84.7%

94.3%

90.9%

99.0%

91.6%

100.8%

90.0%

Effect TARP Termination

NA

NA

NA

NA

200,000

200,000

NA

NA

TARP Termination Effect on Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-1,066,909

-427,830

NA

NA

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

6.9%

2.8%

NA

NA

TARP Termination Effect on Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,944,000

13,808,000

16,136,000

14,384,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

97.6%

90.3%

99.6%

88.7%

Effect of Revenue Provisions + TARP

No on Make Work Pay Extension

NA

NA

NA

NA

30,132

30,132

31,075

31,075

No on Information Reporting Tax

NA

NA

NA

NA

-326

-326

-1,029

-1,029

Total Effect of Revenue Provisions

NA

NA

NA

NA

29,806

29,806

30,046

30,046

Revenue Provision Effect on Total Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-1,036,000

-398,000

-799,000

-184,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

6.7%

2.6%

4.9%

1.1%

Revenue Provision Effect on Public Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,914,000

13,778,000

16,106,000

14,354,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

97.5%

90.1%

99.4%

88.6%

Effect of Health Care Proposals + TARP + Rev.

Social Health Insurance Plan

NA

NA

NA

NA

-75,000

-75,000

-80,000

-80,000

 Effect of Social Health on Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-1,111

-473,000

-909,000

-294

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

7.2%

3.1%

5.6%

1.8%

Total Effect of Social Health on Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,989,000

13,833,000

16,186,000

14,434,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

97.9%

90.5%

99.9%

89.1%

National Health Service

NA

NA

NA

NA

688,000

688,000

709,000

709,000

Effect of NHI on Deficit

NA

NA

NA

NA

-379,000

+261,000

-119,000

+495,000

% GDP

2.5%

+ 1.7%

0.7%

+ 3.1%

Effect NHI on Debt

NA

NA

NA

NA

14,256,000

13,120,000

15,427,000

13,875,000

% GDP

NA

NA

NA

NA

93.2%

85.8%

95.2%

85.6%

Source: Tables: 2, 5 and 33 15,299; 16,203

 

As you can see there is hope for a balanced budget. The agencies federal government must however unite under these spending limits. If the spending limits are upheld government performance will yield results, with the return of TARP funds the federal government enjoys the satisfaction of a less than 3% of GDP deficit FY 2011.  TARP also spares the federal government the ignominy of a public debt that exceeds 100% of GDP as soon as FY 2012. However, unless spending is restrained even with the return of TARP revenues the public debt will exceed 100% of GDP in FY 2013.  With the fiscal discipline of these carefully crafted spending limits and TARP the debt starts to decline as a percentage of GDP in FY 2011 instead of having to wait for FY 2012.  As Presidents Johnson and Reagan found if the deficit is a smaller percentage of GDP than economic growth the public debt declines as a percentage of GDP but as Clinton found out even in surplus years the federal government accumulates debt off-budget.  For their part Congress must not renew the Make Work Pay tax credit whereas it is imprecise, proven ineffective and better off terminated and also repeal the proposed invasive information reporting tax from the President’s tax proposal because it is the same spy who popped the housing bubble, but pass the rest.  Social health insurance of the 111th Congress threatens to aggravate existing fiscal problems and certainly aggravates Adam Smith’s invisible hand, the Democrats must be censured until it can be afforded with under a 3% deficit, not until FY 2012.  If the federal government takes the bold step of nationalizing health insurance the government and people can enjoy a surplus in FY 2011-14, before they are left with a higher tax rate but more efficient and ethical health system and a much freer economy that could be afforded if the federal government were to tax incomes over $1 million at 50%, returning to the progressive tax system of the post-war years, but that is for another day, when the federal government, like an SSA that pays the poor because they are poor, is worth their money.                  

 

For the President to take control of the federal budget from the blackmail of his predecessor’s money laundry he must recuse the Vice President, Social Security Commissioner and most importantly Secretary of Defense, and Fed Chairman under 18 USC (11) §203, §205, §207 & §214 respectively, and renounce all forms of extortion, violence, coercion and infringement, to master the political economy of the Democratic and Republican (DR) party.  The President must be an idealist and not be blackmailed by the propaganda pertaining to that great Scotsman Keynes, who was not a pillager, is not synonymous with deficit spending, and in fact condemned subsidies, he must also eschew the dangerous propaganda regarding toxic assets, liabilities, and other irrelevant warshipping of health theology, for whereas the government must side with the writer and not the fighter, the government must not pervert Adam Smith’s invisible hand of price controls with bioterrorist population controls.  Friedman, a great capitalist proponent of individual self-interest for mutual benefit, warned, “Experience should teach us to be most on our guard to protect liberty when the government’s purposes are beneficial” this is never more true than in regards to the snake oil salesmen of health insurance.  But, as Samuel Smiles said, “Where there is a will, there is way”, the federal budget is no exception, although one might append, “where there is an ill will, the government pays”.  With a will to balance the budget, the deficit can be brought under control, through agency spending limits alone.  If the administration is true to liberal economic theory accounted for in this work, rather than the social liberal propaganda, when the war is terminated in 2012 the deficit will be less than 3% and economic performance will be guaranteed, otherwise is not to be wise.   

 

Balancing the budget must unite the efforts of the federal government.  The deficit is a burden on the economy and it is at an all time high, both as a number and as a percentage of the GDP.  War and deficit spending are the problem, money laundering, fraud and persecution are not the answer, maintaining the status quo of corruption and conflict of interest will not get us anywhere.  The insipid political remedies we see on a daily basis in the new are insufficient and ultimately counterproductive.  The federal government must take bold measures to reduce the deficit and achieve balance.  This is no easy task, but over the course of this shortest month of the year, I have managed to do exactly that, balance the budget.  The federal government must not continue to throw my cure in the trash, where the effectiveness of the cure is reduced to 50% of the damages of their snake oil, 500% more than if none of us had ever been born.  The President must relearn his idealism, cease the hostilities he embarked upon to prove to his enemies that he is not an idealist, put aside our differences and our prejudices and most of all our propaganda and work together as self-interested individuals petitioning a self-interested government to achieve the mutually beneficial common goal of balanced federal budget.  Because this budget is balanced, as the administration and legislature failed to do, the federal government must concede their victory and grant full faith and credit to this Statement - the federal government must purchase these rights for $1,000 to demonstrate their cognizance, the Treasury can easily earn their money back by charging agencies a $100 compliance fee.

 

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Bibliography

 

Laws

 

Amended United States Constitution HA-26-7-09

American Recovery and Reinvestment Act (ARRA) P.L. 111-5 February 17, 2009

Bribery, Graft and Conflicts of Interest 18 USC Chapter 11 Compensation to Members of Congress, officers and others in matters affecting Government §203, Activities of officers and employees in claims against and other matters affecting the Government §205, Restrictions on former officers, employees, and elected officials of the executive and legislative branches §207 & Offer for procurement of Federal Reserve bank loan and discount of commercial paper §214

Children's Health Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2009 Public Law 111-3 April 1, 2009

Constitution of Hospitals & Asylums Non Government Economics (CHANGE) Monkey Day 2009

Emergency Economic Stabilization Act (EESA) HR 1424 October 3, 2008

Housing and Economic Recovery Act (HERA) of 2008 P.L. 110-289 July 30, 2008

Recovery Rebates and Economic Stimulus for the American People Act of 2008 P.L. 110-185 February 13, 2008

 

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Astrue, Michael J. Commissioner, Social Security Administration. FY 2011 Budget Overview. February 2010

Barofsky, Neil M. Special Inspector General, Troubled Asset Relief Program. Quarterly Report to Congress. January 10, 2010

Bement, Arden L. Director, National Science Foundation. FY 2011 Budget Request to Congress. February 1, 2010

Berry, John. Director Office of Personnel Management. FY 2009 Agency Financial Report. November 16, 2009

Bolden, Charles. Administrator, National Aeronautics and Space Administration. FY 2011 Budget Estimates

Bureau of Labor Statistics. Regional and State Employment and Unemployment Summary. January 10, 2010

Chu, Steven, Secretary, Department of Energy. FY 2011 Budget Request to Congress

Clinton, Hillary. Secretary, Department of State. Executive Budget Summary. Function 150 and Other International Programs. FY 2011

Donovan, Shaun. Secretary, Department of Housing and Urban Development. FY 2011 Budget. February 1, 2010

Duncan, Arne. Department of Education. FY 2011 Budget Summary. February 1, 2010

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LaHood, Ray. Secretary, Department of Transportation. FY 2011 Budget Highlights. February 1, 2010

Locke, Gary. Secretary, Department of Commerce. Bureau of the Census. Estimated Life Cycle Costs for Reengineering the 2010 Decennial Census Program. September 2005

Mills, Karen G. Administrator, Small Business Administration. President’s Proposed FY 2011 Budget for SBA.

McManus, Steve. Chief Operating Officer, Armed Forces Retirement Home. FY 2009 Performance and Accountability Report. November 16, 2009

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Recovery.gov Agency Report U.S. Totals. February 16, 2010

Salazar, Ken. Secretary, Department of Interior. FY 2011 Interior Budget in Brief. January 29, 2010

Sanders, Tony J. Secretary, Hospitals & Asylums. Political Platform 2009-2012. HA-16-2-09

Sebelius, Kathleen. Secretary, Department of Health and Human Services. HHS FY 2011 President’s Budget for HHS. February 1, 2010

Shinseki, Eric K. Secretary, Veterans Affairs. FY 2011 Budget Submission. February 3, 2010

Social Security and Medicare Board of Trustees. Status of Social Security and Medicare Programs: A Summary of the 2009 Annual Reports. May 12, 2009

Solis, Hilda L. Secretary, Department of Labor. FY 2011 Detailed Budget Documentation

Treasury Department. Troubled Asset Relief Program Office of Financial Stability. Agency Financial Report 2009. December 10, 2009

Van Antwerp, Robert L. Commanding General, US Army Corp of Engineers. Program Budget. FY 2011. February 2010

Vilsack, Thomas J. Secretary US Department of Agriculture. 2009 Performance and Accountability Report. 

 

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